Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026, Senate race, reflecting her established name recognition as a former Boa Vista mayor, recent MDB convention confirmation in early August, and consistent polling leads from late 2025. The field remains highly fragmented with 13 registered candidates, including incumbents Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and others, which caps any single contender’s probability. Hélio Lopes (PL, running as Helio Bolsonaro) entered after transferring his voter registration and securing PL/Bolsonaro family backing, injecting additional competition without yet closing the gap in surveys. This crowded contest and lack of consolidation keep the race tight, with potential shifts tied to upcoming debates, final polling trends, and voter turnout in the state’s two-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Teresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 40%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Teresa Surita
55%
Regina Tio Ivo
40%
Hiperion de Oliveira
19%
Chico Rodrigues
18%
Pastor Isamar
22%
Helio Bolsonaro
22%
Nicoletti
10%
Helena da Asatur
8%
Mario Rocha
7%
Hilton Xavier
7%
Márcio Junqueira
6%
Rogério Miranda
5%
Bartô Macuxi
3%
Teresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 40%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
Teresa Surita
$392 Vol.
55%
Regina Tio Ivo
$82 Vol.
40%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$98 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$98 Vol.
18%
Pastor Isamar
$121 Vol.
22%
Helio Bolsonaro
$102 Vol.
22%
Nicoletti
$98 Vol.
10%
Helena da Asatur
$91 Vol.
8%
Mario Rocha
$97 Vol.
7%
Hilton Xavier
$82 Vol.
7%
Márcio Junqueira
$82 Vol.
6%
Rogério Miranda
$248 Vol.
5%
Bartô Macuxi
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026, Senate race, reflecting her established name recognition as a former Boa Vista mayor, recent MDB convention confirmation in early August, and consistent polling leads from late 2025. The field remains highly fragmented with 13 registered candidates, including incumbents Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and others, which caps any single contender’s probability. Hélio Lopes (PL, running as Helio Bolsonaro) entered after transferring his voter registration and securing PL/Bolsonaro family backing, injecting additional competition without yet closing the gap in surveys. This crowded contest and lack of consolidation keep the race tight, with potential shifts tied to upcoming debates, final polling trends, and voter turnout in the state’s two-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
音量
$1,679終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026, Senate race, reflecting her established name recognition as a former Boa Vista mayor, recent MDB convention confirmation in early August, and consistent polling leads from late 2025. The field remains highly fragmented with 13 registered candidates, including incumbents Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and others, which caps any single contender’s probability. Hélio Lopes (PL, running as Helio Bolsonaro) entered after transferring his voter registration and securing PL/Bolsonaro family backing, injecting additional competition without yet closing the gap in surveys. This crowded contest and lack of consolidation keep the race tight, with potential shifts tied to upcoming debates, final polling trends, and voter turnout in the state’s two-seat contest.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$1,679終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the clearest edge for first place in Roraima’s October 4, 2026, Senate race, reflecting her established name recognition as a former Boa Vista mayor, recent MDB convention confirmation in early August, and consistent polling leads from late 2025. The field remains highly fragmented with 13 registered candidates, including incumbents Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and others, which caps any single contender’s probability. Hélio Lopes (PL, running as Helio Bolsonaro) entered after transferring his voter registration and securing PL/Bolsonaro family backing, injecting additional competition without yet closing the gap in surveys. This crowded contest and lack of consolidation keep the race tight, with potential shifts tied to upcoming debates, final polling trends, and voter turnout in the state’s two-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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