**Weak opening tracking and early actuals have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward sub-$6 million for "One Night Only," with implied probability above 97%.** The Universal romantic comedy starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner debuted August 7 amid heavy competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man, posting roughly $2.8 million through its first two days and ranking third domestically. Mixed reviews (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited pre-release buzz for the high-concept premise limited advance ticket sales and walk-up traffic. Historical patterns for mid-budget rom-coms in August further tempered expectations. An upset into the $6 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth and audience legs that overcome the soft start, though such turnarounds have proven rare for similar releases this summer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「ワンナイトオンリー」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「ワンナイトオンリー」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
<6m 97.5%
6-7m 1.6%
7-8m 1.1%
8-9m <1%
$24,215 Vol.
$24,215 Vol.
2026/08/09
<6m
98%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
1%
8-9m
<1%
900万ドル以上
<1%
<6m 97.5%
6-7m 1.6%
7-8m 1.1%
8-9m <1%
$24,215 Vol.
$24,215 Vol.
2026/08/09
<6m
$10,670 Vol.
98%
6-7m
$1,286 Vol.
2%
7-8m
$1,430 Vol.
1%
8-9m
$3,669 Vol.
<1%
900万ドル以上
$7,161 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Weak opening tracking and early actuals have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward sub-$6 million for "One Night Only," with implied probability above 97%.** The Universal romantic comedy starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner debuted August 7 amid heavy competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man, posting roughly $2.8 million through its first two days and ranking third domestically. Mixed reviews (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited pre-release buzz for the high-concept premise limited advance ticket sales and walk-up traffic. Historical patterns for mid-budget rom-coms in August further tempered expectations. An upset into the $6 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth and audience legs that overcome the soft start, though such turnarounds have proven rare for similar releases this summer.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$24,215終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Weak opening tracking and early actuals have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward sub-$6 million for "One Night Only," with implied probability above 97%.** The Universal romantic comedy starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner debuted August 7 amid heavy competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man, posting roughly $2.8 million through its first two days and ranking third domestically. Mixed reviews (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited pre-release buzz for the high-concept premise limited advance ticket sales and walk-up traffic. Historical patterns for mid-budget rom-coms in August further tempered expectations. An upset into the $6 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth and audience legs that overcome the soft start, though such turnarounds have proven rare for similar releases this summer.
This market will resolve according to how much "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$24,215終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Weak opening tracking and early actuals have driven overwhelming trader consensus toward sub-$6 million for "One Night Only," with implied probability above 97%.** The Universal romantic comedy starring Monica Barbaro and Callum Turner debuted August 7 amid heavy competition from holdover blockbusters like Spider-Man, posting roughly $2.8 million through its first two days and ranking third domestically. Mixed reviews (47% on Rotten Tomatoes) and limited pre-release buzz for the high-concept premise limited advance ticket sales and walk-up traffic. Historical patterns for mid-budget rom-coms in August further tempered expectations. An upset into the $6 million-plus range would require exceptional word-of-mouth and audience legs that overcome the soft start, though such turnarounds have proven rare for similar releases this summer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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