Elon Musk's consistent posting rhythm across recent weeks underpins trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, reflecting typical daily output of roughly 13-21 posts amid business updates and replies rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Analyses of his 2025-2026 activity show fluctuating averages often exceeding 60 tweets daily during active stretches, yet markets price in moderating factors such as weekend timing and absence of major company announcements or controversies that historically drive spikes above 65. Recent posts on Starlink revenue projections and satellite capabilities illustrate ongoing engagement without the escalation seen in peak periods, while similar Polymarket resolutions for comparable three-day windows have clustered in this band. Upcoming chart updates or any late-breaking Tesla or xAI developments could shift momentum toward the 26.5% priced sub-40 outcome if activity dips.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40～64 59%
40未満 27%
65〜89 15%
90～114 2.6%
$146,374 Vol.
$146,374 Vol.
2026/08/10
40未満
27%
40～64
59%
65〜89
15%
90～114
3%
115〜139
1%
140〜164
<1%
165〜189
<1%
190～214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40～64 59%
40未満 27%
65〜89 15%
90～114 2.6%
$146,374 Vol.
$146,374 Vol.
2026/08/10
40未満
$28,777 Vol.
27%
40～64
$16,153 Vol.
59%
65〜89
$21,520 Vol.
15%
90～114
$26,371 Vol.
3%
115〜139
$18,806 Vol.
1%
140〜164
$10,807 Vol.
<1%
165〜189
$11,580 Vol.
<1%
190～214
$3,943 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$5,406 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$5,514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent posting rhythm across recent weeks underpins trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, reflecting typical daily output of roughly 13-21 posts amid business updates and replies rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Analyses of his 2025-2026 activity show fluctuating averages often exceeding 60 tweets daily during active stretches, yet markets price in moderating factors such as weekend timing and absence of major company announcements or controversies that historically drive spikes above 65. Recent posts on Starlink revenue projections and satellite capabilities illustrate ongoing engagement without the escalation seen in peak periods, while similar Polymarket resolutions for comparable three-day windows have clustered in this band. Upcoming chart updates or any late-breaking Tesla or xAI developments could shift momentum toward the 26.5% priced sub-40 outcome if activity dips.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$146,374終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's consistent posting rhythm across recent weeks underpins trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, reflecting typical daily output of roughly 13-21 posts amid business updates and replies rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Analyses of his 2025-2026 activity show fluctuating averages often exceeding 60 tweets daily during active stretches, yet markets price in moderating factors such as weekend timing and absence of major company announcements or controversies that historically drive spikes above 65. Recent posts on Starlink revenue projections and satellite capabilities illustrate ongoing engagement without the escalation seen in peak periods, while similar Polymarket resolutions for comparable three-day windows have clustered in this band. Upcoming chart updates or any late-breaking Tesla or xAI developments could shift momentum toward the 26.5% priced sub-40 outcome if activity dips.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$146,374終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's consistent posting rhythm across recent weeks underpins trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, reflecting typical daily output of roughly 13-21 posts amid business updates and replies rather than sustained high-volume bursts. Analyses of his 2025-2026 activity show fluctuating averages often exceeding 60 tweets daily during active stretches, yet markets price in moderating factors such as weekend timing and absence of major company announcements or controversies that historically drive spikes above 65. Recent posts on Starlink revenue projections and satellite capabilities illustrate ongoing engagement without the escalation seen in peak periods, while similar Polymarket resolutions for comparable three-day windows have clustered in this band. Upcoming chart updates or any late-breaking Tesla or xAI developments could shift momentum toward the 26.5% priced sub-40 outcome if activity dips.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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