Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウルフ・プランゲ 69%
ヤシャ・ロール 27%
セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%
ハイケ・ボルト <1%
$20,958 Vol.
$20,958 Vol.

ウルフ・プランゲ
69%

ヤシャ・ロール
32%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ
<1%

ハイケ・ボルト
<1%

ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス
<1%

ヤクプ・カストゥール
<1%

ビアンカ・キュスナー
<1%

ミヒャエル・スティレ
<1%

ラルフ・ブッツィン
<1%
ウルフ・プランゲ 69%
ヤシャ・ロール 27%
セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%
ハイケ・ボルト <1%
$20,958 Vol.
$20,958 Vol.

ウルフ・プランゲ
69%

ヤシャ・ロール
32%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ
<1%

ハイケ・ボルト
<1%

ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス
<1%

ヤクプ・カストゥール
<1%

ビアンカ・キュスナー
<1%

ミヒャエル・スティレ
<1%

ラルフ・ブッツィン
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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