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icon for オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者

オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者

icon for オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者

オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者

ウルフ・プランゲ 69%

ヤシャ・ロール 27%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%

ハイケ・ボルト <1%

Polymarket

$20,958 Vol.

ウルフ・プランゲ 69%

ヤシャ・ロール 27%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%

ハイケ・ボルト <1%

Polymarket

$20,958 Vol.

icon for ウルフ・プランゲ

ウルフ・プランゲ

$8,406 Vol.

69%

icon for ヤシャ・ロール

ヤシャ・ロール

$6,034 Vol.

32%

icon for セバスチャン・フレリッヒ

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ

$971 Vol.

<1%

icon for ハイケ・ボルト

ハイケ・ボルト

$881 Vol.

<1%

icon for ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス

ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス

$712 Vol.

<1%

icon for ヤクプ・カストゥール

ヤクプ・カストゥール

$517 Vol.

<1%

icon for ビアンカ・キュスナー

ビアンカ・キュスナー

$1,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for ミヒャエル・スティレ

ミヒャエル・スティレ

$1,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for ラルフ・ブッツィン

ラルフ・ブッツィン

$1,219 Vol.

<1%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
音量
$20,958
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads the Oldenburg mayoral race in trader pricing due to his SPD nomination and long record as a local councilor and state legislator, positioning him to consolidate center-left support in a contest where no candidate is expected to secure an outright majority on September 13. Jascha Rohr, backed by a CDU-Greens alliance as an independent, trails despite the cross-party coalition, as analysts anticipate a September 27 runoff between the two frontrunners. The remaining eight candidates, including FDP's Sebastian Fröhlich and smaller-party or independent entrants, register minimal implied probabilities consistent with their narrower bases and limited campaign visibility. Key issues such as affordable housing and municipal finances have defined the final weeks, with the direct-election rules and potential second-round dynamics shaping current market positioning.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
音量
$20,958
終了日
2026/09/13
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ウルフ・プランゲ」で69%、次いで「ヤシャ・ロール」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、69¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に69%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者」は$21Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ウルフ・プランゲ」で69%であり、市場がこの結果に69%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ヤシャ・ロール」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「オルデンブルク市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。