The competitive Ohio Senate special election between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling near a statistical tie in aggregates, drives trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, May primary data showed stronger relative Democratic participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization. Economic concerns such as inflation and affordability continue to elevate engagement on both sides, while generational divides, independent crossover potential, and heavy outside spending further shape mobilization efforts. These factors keep projected totals clustered in the mid-range bins, with campaigns prioritizing likely-voter outreach ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日435万～450万 39%
420万〜435万 25.2%
465万～480万 16%
390万〜405万 13.4%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
390万未満
4%
390万〜405万
13%
405万～420万
1%
420万〜435万
23%
435万～450万
39%
450万〜465万
5%
465万～480万
16%
480万〜495万
5%
495万～510万
9%
510万以上
3%
435万～450万 39%
420万〜435万 25.2%
465万～480万 16%
390万〜405万 13.4%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
390万未満
$1,889 Vol.
4%
390万〜405万
$1,081 Vol.
13%
405万～420万
$2,226 Vol.
1%
420万〜435万
$285 Vol.
23%
435万～450万
$996 Vol.
39%
450万〜465万
$172 Vol.
5%
465万～480万
$157 Vol.
16%
480万〜495万
$72 Vol.
5%
495万～510万
$182 Vol.
9%
510万以上
$603 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Ohio Senate special election between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling near a statistical tie in aggregates, drives trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, May primary data showed stronger relative Democratic participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization. Economic concerns such as inflation and affordability continue to elevate engagement on both sides, while generational divides, independent crossover potential, and heavy outside spending further shape mobilization efforts. These factors keep projected totals clustered in the mid-range bins, with campaigns prioritizing likely-voter outreach ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
音量
$7,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive Ohio Senate special election between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling near a statistical tie in aggregates, drives trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, May primary data showed stronger relative Democratic participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization. Economic concerns such as inflation and affordability continue to elevate engagement on both sides, while generational divides, independent crossover potential, and heavy outside spending further shape mobilization efforts. These factors keep projected totals clustered in the mid-range bins, with campaigns prioritizing likely-voter outreach ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$7,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The competitive Ohio Senate special election between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling near a statistical tie in aggregates, drives trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. With roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state, May primary data showed stronger relative Democratic participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization. Economic concerns such as inflation and affordability continue to elevate engagement on both sides, while generational divides, independent crossover potential, and heavy outside spending further shape mobilization efforts. These factors keep projected totals clustered in the mid-range bins, with campaigns prioritizing likely-voter outreach ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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