Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race against Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent GOP-commissioned surveys from June and July showing leads of 7 to 12 points that contrast earlier dead-heat results. Both candidates secured their party nominations comfortably in the June 9 primaries. The contest centers on issues including taxes, property assessments, and abortion policy, while recent campaign exchanges have focused on endorsement claims. Nevada's status as a competitive swing state, combined with Lombardo's incumbency and independent voter support in some surveys, underpins trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$69,794 Vol.
$69,794 Vol.

ジョー・ロンバード(共和党)
57%

アーロン・フォード(民主党)
43%
$69,794 Vol.
$69,794 Vol.

ジョー・ロンバード(共和党)
57%

アーロン・フォード(民主党)
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race against Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent GOP-commissioned surveys from June and July showing leads of 7 to 12 points that contrast earlier dead-heat results. Both candidates secured their party nominations comfortably in the June 9 primaries. The contest centers on issues including taxes, property assessments, and abortion policy, while recent campaign exchanges have focused on endorsement claims. Nevada's status as a competitive swing state, combined with Lombardo's incumbency and independent voter support in some surveys, underpins trader consensus around these probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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