Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, leading a government focused on post-conflict reconstruction, state sovereignty, and negotiations over Israeli withdrawal from southern territories. As of August 2026, he remains firmly in office, actively coordinating with U.S. officials and international partners on military de-escalation timelines while managing domestic tensions with Hezbollah over disarmament and foreign influence. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 fall within his government's mandate, and no formal challenges to his position, such as a no-confidence vote or coalition collapse, have materialized. Trader consensus at 89.5% against his removal reflects this continuity, reinforced by his role in ongoing diplomatic and reform efforts amid Lebanon's fragile political balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日11% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
11% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, leading a government focused on post-conflict reconstruction, state sovereignty, and negotiations over Israeli withdrawal from southern territories. As of August 2026, he remains firmly in office, actively coordinating with U.S. officials and international partners on military de-escalation timelines while managing domestic tensions with Hezbollah over disarmament and foreign influence. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 fall within his government's mandate, and no formal challenges to his position, such as a no-confidence vote or coalition collapse, have materialized. Trader consensus at 89.5% against his removal reflects this continuity, reinforced by his role in ongoing diplomatic and reform efforts amid Lebanon's fragile political balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
音量
$1,148終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, leading a government focused on post-conflict reconstruction, state sovereignty, and negotiations over Israeli withdrawal from southern territories. As of August 2026, he remains firmly in office, actively coordinating with U.S. officials and international partners on military de-escalation timelines while managing domestic tensions with Hezbollah over disarmament and foreign influence. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 fall within his government's mandate, and no formal challenges to his position, such as a no-confidence vote or coalition collapse, have materialized. Trader consensus at 89.5% against his removal reflects this continuity, reinforced by his role in ongoing diplomatic and reform efforts amid Lebanon's fragile political balance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nawaf Salam ceases to be Prime Minister of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Salam's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Nawaf Salam and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,148終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nawaf Salam has served as Lebanon's prime minister since February 2025, leading a government focused on post-conflict reconstruction, state sovereignty, and negotiations over Israeli withdrawal from southern territories. As of August 2026, he remains firmly in office, actively coordinating with U.S. officials and international partners on military de-escalation timelines while managing domestic tensions with Hezbollah over disarmament and foreign influence. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 fall within his government's mandate, and no formal challenges to his position, such as a no-confidence vote or coalition collapse, have materialized. Trader consensus at 89.5% against his removal reflects this continuity, reinforced by his role in ongoing diplomatic and reform efforts amid Lebanon's fragile political balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問