Recent polling aggregates show Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson holding narrow-to-moderate leads over Republican opponents Mike Rogers and John James in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial races. Both contests feature Democratic primary winners who consolidated support after August contests, while Republican fields produced clear general-election nominees. Aggregators rate the Senate race a toss-up or lean Democratic and the gubernatorial race lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep as the highest-probability outcome. Mixed results remain plausible given the Senate contest’s closeness and typical late-cycle volatility in a battleground state. No major developments have shifted these dynamics in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党圧勝 65%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 30%
共和党が圧勝 7%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利 1.1%
$10,933 Vol.
$10,933 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党圧勝
65%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
30%
共和党が圧勝
7%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利
1%
民主党圧勝 65%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利 30%
共和党が圧勝 7%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利 1.1%
$10,933 Vol.
$10,933 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党圧勝
$4,689 Vol.
65%
知事は民主党勝利、上院は共和党勝利
$1,223 Vol.
30%
共和党が圧勝
$4,197 Vol.
7%
共和党が知事勝利、民主党が上院勝利
$824 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling aggregates show Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson holding narrow-to-moderate leads over Republican opponents Mike Rogers and John James in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial races. Both contests feature Democratic primary winners who consolidated support after August contests, while Republican fields produced clear general-election nominees. Aggregators rate the Senate race a toss-up or lean Democratic and the gubernatorial race lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep as the highest-probability outcome. Mixed results remain plausible given the Senate contest’s closeness and typical late-cycle volatility in a battleground state. No major developments have shifted these dynamics in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$10,933終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polling aggregates show Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson holding narrow-to-moderate leads over Republican opponents Mike Rogers and John James in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial races. Both contests feature Democratic primary winners who consolidated support after August contests, while Republican fields produced clear general-election nominees. Aggregators rate the Senate race a toss-up or lean Democratic and the gubernatorial race lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep as the highest-probability outcome. Mixed results remain plausible given the Senate contest’s closeness and typical late-cycle volatility in a battleground state. No major developments have shifted these dynamics in the past week.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$10,933終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson holding narrow-to-moderate leads over Republican opponents Mike Rogers and John James in Michigan’s open Senate and gubernatorial races. Both contests feature Democratic primary winners who consolidated support after August contests, while Republican fields produced clear general-election nominees. Aggregators rate the Senate race a toss-up or lean Democratic and the gubernatorial race lean Democratic, aligning with trader consensus favoring a Democratic sweep as the highest-probability outcome. Mixed results remain plausible given the Senate contest’s closeness and typical late-cycle volatility in a battleground state. No major developments have shifted these dynamics in the past week.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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