Recent polling from mid-August places Capitão Contar (PL) ahead for the second Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, reflecting his strong party backing after PL national leadership endorsed his candidacy and internal negotiations that sidelined alternatives like Marcos Pollon. Traders price him at 60.5% for second place behind likely frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja, consistent with surveys showing Contar in the 20-25% range on the second vote while trailing Azambuja. Soraya Thronicke (PSB), the sole reelection seeker, sits at 42% amid lower survey support around 8-9%. Lower-priced names such as Vander Loubet, Valderi Garcia, and Luiz Lemes trail further in both ballots and market odds. Candidate registration closed August 15, locking in a field of nine to ten contenders for the October 4, 2026, contest, with no major late shifts reported.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日カピタオン・コンタール 60%
レイナルド・アザンブジャ 39%
ロベルト・オシロ 22%
ヴァンデル・ロウベット 22%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カピタオン・コンタール
60%
レイナルド・アザンブジャ
39%
ロベルト・オシロ
22%
ヴァンデル・ロウベット
22%
ベト・ド・モビメント
22%
ルイス・レメス
21%
ソラヤ
21%
ダニエル・ジュニオール
20%
ヴァルデリ・ガルシア
20%
ヴァウテル・ダ・コマグラン
17%
カピタオン・コンタール 60%
レイナルド・アザンブジャ 39%
ロベルト・オシロ 22%
ヴァンデル・ロウベット 22%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
カピタオン・コンタール
$318 Vol.
60%
レイナルド・アザンブジャ
$44 Vol.
39%
ロベルト・オシロ
$44 Vol.
22%
ヴァンデル・ロウベット
$44 Vol.
22%
ベト・ド・モビメント
$44 Vol.
22%
ルイス・レメス
$44 Vol.
21%
ソラヤ
$44 Vol.
21%
ダニエル・ジュニオール
$44 Vol.
20%
ヴァルデリ・ガルシア
$44 Vol.
20%
ヴァウテル・ダ・コマグラン
$44 Vol.
17%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-August places Capitão Contar (PL) ahead for the second Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, reflecting his strong party backing after PL national leadership endorsed his candidacy and internal negotiations that sidelined alternatives like Marcos Pollon. Traders price him at 60.5% for second place behind likely frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja, consistent with surveys showing Contar in the 20-25% range on the second vote while trailing Azambuja. Soraya Thronicke (PSB), the sole reelection seeker, sits at 42% amid lower survey support around 8-9%. Lower-priced names such as Vander Loubet, Valderi Garcia, and Luiz Lemes trail further in both ballots and market odds. Candidate registration closed August 15, locking in a field of nine to ten contenders for the October 4, 2026, contest, with no major late shifts reported.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$713終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-August places Capitão Contar (PL) ahead for the second Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, reflecting his strong party backing after PL national leadership endorsed his candidacy and internal negotiations that sidelined alternatives like Marcos Pollon. Traders price him at 60.5% for second place behind likely frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja, consistent with surveys showing Contar in the 20-25% range on the second vote while trailing Azambuja. Soraya Thronicke (PSB), the sole reelection seeker, sits at 42% amid lower survey support around 8-9%. Lower-priced names such as Vander Loubet, Valderi Garcia, and Luiz Lemes trail further in both ballots and market odds. Candidate registration closed August 15, locking in a field of nine to ten contenders for the October 4, 2026, contest, with no major late shifts reported.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$713終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-August places Capitão Contar (PL) ahead for the second Senate seat in Mato Grosso do Sul, reflecting his strong party backing after PL national leadership endorsed his candidacy and internal negotiations that sidelined alternatives like Marcos Pollon. Traders price him at 60.5% for second place behind likely frontrunner Reinaldo Azambuja, consistent with surveys showing Contar in the 20-25% range on the second vote while trailing Azambuja. Soraya Thronicke (PSB), the sole reelection seeker, sits at 42% amid lower survey support around 8-9%. Lower-priced names such as Vander Loubet, Valderi Garcia, and Luiz Lemes trail further in both ballots and market odds. Candidate registration closed August 15, locking in a field of nine to ten contenders for the October 4, 2026, contest, with no major late shifts reported.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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