Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight clear skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a lowest temperature near 19°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 19°C, while the 45% on 15°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in local station measurements and potential for enhanced cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines around 22°C provide context, but current observational data showing highs near 32–34°C and minimal cloud cover have shifted trader consensus toward these cooler thresholds ahead of final overnight readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月13日の武漢の最低気温は？
9月13日の武漢の最低気温は？
15°C以下 90%
18℃ 90%
16℃ 18%
17℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
15°C以下
90%
16℃
18%
17℃
18%
18℃
90%
19°C
-
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C以上
<1%
15°C以下 90%
18℃ 90%
16℃ 18%
17℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/13
15°C以下
$0 Vol.
90%
16℃
$0 Vol.
18%
17℃
$0 Vol.
18%
18℃
$34 Vol.
90%
19°C
$317 Vol.
-
20℃
$145 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$262 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$316 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight clear skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a lowest temperature near 19°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 19°C, while the 45% on 15°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in local station measurements and potential for enhanced cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines around 22°C provide context, but current observational data showing highs near 32–34°C and minimal cloud cover have shifted trader consensus toward these cooler thresholds ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,230終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight clear skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a lowest temperature near 19°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 19°C, while the 45% on 15°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in local station measurements and potential for enhanced cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines around 22°C provide context, but current observational data showing highs near 32–34°C and minimal cloud cover have shifted trader consensus toward these cooler thresholds ahead of final overnight readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,230終了日
2026/09/13マーケット開始日
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration highlight clear skies and light northerly winds over Wuhan, promoting radiative cooling overnight and supporting a lowest temperature near 19°C. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 19°C, while the 45% on 15°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in local station measurements and potential for enhanced cooling under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical September baselines around 22°C provide context, but current observational data showing highs near 32–34°C and minimal cloud cover have shifted trader consensus toward these cooler thresholds ahead of final overnight readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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