Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党全勝 71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 15%
民主党圧勝 10%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党全勝
71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
15%
民主党圧勝
10%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利
6%
共和党全勝 71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利 15%
民主党圧勝 10%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利 5.7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党全勝
$2,937 Vol.
71%
民主党が知事選勝利、共和党が上院選勝利
$1,301 Vol.
15%
民主党圧勝
$79 Vol.
10%
共和党知事勝利、民主党上院勝利
$89 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
音量
$4,407終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Kansas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$4,407終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 19, 2026, 3:59 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Republican structural advantages in Kansas, a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024, underpin the 71% trader consensus on a Republican sweep of the U.S. Senate and governor races on November 3. Incumbent Senator Roger Marshall holds a modest polling edge over Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton following the August 4 primaries. In the open gubernatorial contest, Republican nominee Ty Masterson, backed by former President Trump, faces Democrat Cindy Holscher in a race where recent surveys show a near tie but fundamentals favor the GOP. Limited post-primary polling and the state's partisan baseline keep split outcomes at lower implied probabilities, with traders viewing coordinated Democratic wins as unlikely absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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