Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles converge on a daytime high near 30°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air masses under partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation. This setup favors peak readings in the 29–31°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities where 30°C leads at 48.5%. Recent observations show current temperatures around 26–27°C with strengthening southerly flow, supporting modest warming without extreme heat indices. Low overnight minima near 22–24°C further constrain the daily maximum, while model consensus reduces outlier risks for 28°C or below. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any late adjustments from cloud or wind variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日の東京の最高気温は？
9月14日の東京の最高気温は？
30℃ 49%
29℃ 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
3%
28°C
8%
29℃
27%
30℃
49%
31°C
15%
32℃
4%
33℃
2%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
30℃ 49%
29℃ 27%
31°C 15%
28°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
25℃以下
$1,450 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$358 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$304 Vol.
3%
28°C
$449 Vol.
8%
29℃
$1,449 Vol.
27%
30℃
$1,105 Vol.
49%
31°C
$2,674 Vol.
15%
32℃
$408 Vol.
4%
33℃
$247 Vol.
2%
34℃
$314 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$673 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles converge on a daytime high near 30°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air masses under partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation. This setup favors peak readings in the 29–31°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities where 30°C leads at 48.5%. Recent observations show current temperatures around 26–27°C with strengthening southerly flow, supporting modest warming without extreme heat indices. Low overnight minima near 22–24°C further constrain the daily maximum, while model consensus reduces outlier risks for 28°C or below. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any late adjustments from cloud or wind variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$9,432終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles converge on a daytime high near 30°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air masses under partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation. This setup favors peak readings in the 29–31°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities where 30°C leads at 48.5%. Recent observations show current temperatures around 26–27°C with strengthening southerly flow, supporting modest warming without extreme heat indices. Low overnight minima near 22–24°C further constrain the daily maximum, while model consensus reduces outlier risks for 28°C or below. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any late adjustments from cloud or wind variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$9,432終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles converge on a daytime high near 30°C for Tokyo on September 14, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer, humid air masses under partly cloudy skies with minimal daytime precipitation. This setup favors peak readings in the 29–31°C range, aligning with market-implied probabilities where 30°C leads at 48.5%. Recent observations show current temperatures around 26–27°C with strengthening southerly flow, supporting modest warming without extreme heat indices. Low overnight minima near 22–24°C further constrain the daily maximum, while model consensus reduces outlier risks for 28°C or below. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any late adjustments from cloud or wind variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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