Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
26℃ 54%
25℃ 22%
27℃ 17%
24℃ 8%
$15,602 Vol.
$15,602 Vol.
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
2%
24℃
8%
25℃
22%
26℃
54%
27℃
17%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
26℃ 54%
25℃ 22%
27℃ 17%
24℃ 8%
$15,602 Vol.
$15,602 Vol.
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
2%
24℃
8%
25℃
22%
26℃
54%
27℃
17%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources like the GFS point to a maximum of 26°C in Incheon on September 14, driven by northwesterly winds advecting cooler air and partly cloudy skies limiting peak solar heating. This aligns with a seasonal cooling trend after September highs near 24–25°C, under stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. Historical September averages for the region hover around 25–26°C, supporting trader emphasis on the 26°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Minor model spreads introduce limited upside risk for 27°C if afternoon clearing intensifies, while downside to 25°C remains possible with stronger winds or persistent cloud cover. Updated NHC-equivalent regional guidance and hourly observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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