Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on September 14 point to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and no strong warm advection, positioning the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. This reflects cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 1991-2020 climatological high of roughly 77°F, driven by a stable post-frontal air mass and limited diurnal heating. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of guidance from multiple runs, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by a degree or two before official observations close the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のシカゴの最高気温は？
9月14日のシカゴの最高気温は？
72〜73°F 52%
74-75°F 21%
70～71°F 18%
76～77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
63°F以下
<1%
64〜65°F
1%
66〜67°F
2%
68〜69°F
4%
70～71°F
18%
72〜73°F
52%
74-75°F
21%
76～77°F
6%
78～79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F以上
1%
72〜73°F 52%
74-75°F 21%
70～71°F 18%
76～77°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/14
63°F以下
$176 Vol.
<1%
64〜65°F
$101 Vol.
1%
66〜67°F
$85 Vol.
2%
68〜69°F
$36 Vol.
4%
70～71°F
$774 Vol.
18%
72〜73°F
$333 Vol.
52%
74-75°F
$254 Vol.
21%
76～77°F
$101 Vol.
6%
78～79°F
$110 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$179 Vol.
1%
82°F以上
$405 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on September 14 point to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and no strong warm advection, positioning the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. This reflects cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 1991-2020 climatological high of roughly 77°F, driven by a stable post-frontal air mass and limited diurnal heating. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of guidance from multiple runs, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by a degree or two before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$2,555終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on September 14 point to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and no strong warm advection, positioning the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. This reflects cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 1991-2020 climatological high of roughly 77°F, driven by a stable post-frontal air mass and limited diurnal heating. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of guidance from multiple runs, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by a degree or two before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,555終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Chicago on September 14 point to a high in the low-to-mid 70s under partly cloudy skies with southeast flow and no strong warm advection, positioning the 72-73°F and 74-75°F bins as the leading outcomes with combined implied probability near 62%. This reflects cooler-than-average conditions relative to the 1991-2020 climatological high of roughly 77°F, driven by a stable post-frontal air mass and limited diurnal heating. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of guidance from multiple runs, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the peak by a degree or two before official observations close the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問