**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月14日のアンカラの最高気温は？
9月14日のアンカラの最高気温は？
26°C 54%
27℃ 37%
25°C 9%
28℃ 2%
新規
$15,226 Vol.
新規
$15,226 Vol.
2026/09/14
22℃以下
<1%
23℃
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
54%
27℃
37%
28℃
2%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
26°C 54%
27℃ 37%
25°C 9%
28℃ 2%
新規
$15,226 Vol.
新規
$15,226 Vol.
2026/09/14
22℃以下
$420 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$620 Vol.
1%
24°C
$890 Vol.
1%
25°C
$4,231 Vol.
9%
26°C
$1,605 Vol.
54%
27℃
$5,428 Vol.
37%
28℃
$1,235 Vol.
2%
29℃
$362 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$15,226終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.**
Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$15,226終了日
2026/09/14マーケット開始日
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a high of 26°C in Ankara on September 14 as the most probable peak, driven by a cooler westerly flow replacing the warmer conditions observed on September 13.** Numerical weather prediction outputs, including ECMWF and GFS guidance, indicate daytime temperatures climbing to the mid-20s Celsius under mostly clear skies with light to moderate west-to-northwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This represents a noticeable drop from the prior day's 31–32°C readings, consistent with seasonal transition patterns and regional pressure gradients. Traders have assigned the highest implied probability to 26°C (51.5%), followed by 27°C (36.5%), reflecting tight clustering around the upper end of ensemble ranges while acknowledging minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak heating. Updated model runs and official Turkish meteorological briefings expected overnight will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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