Fed policy remains anchored to a data-dependent framework amid steady economic expansion and contained inflation pressures as of mid-2026, with the federal funds rate holding near recent levels and no signs of acute financial stress. Trader consensus at 93% against an emergency cut before 2027 reflects the absence of crisis-level triggers such as sharp equity declines, liquidity strains, or abrupt labor-market deterioration, reinforced by consistent FOMC communications favoring gradual adjustments at scheduled meetings. Historical precedent shows emergency actions typically follow exogenous shocks like banking sector turmoil or rapid GDP contractions, conditions not evident in current Treasury yields, volatility measures, or incoming data releases. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or an unexpected banking event could still prompt a response, though markets currently price these risks as low-probability outliers through year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$146,156 Vol.
$146,156 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
7% 確率
$146,156 Vol.
$146,156 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Fed policy remains anchored to a data-dependent framework amid steady economic expansion and contained inflation pressures as of mid-2026, with the federal funds rate holding near recent levels and no signs of acute financial stress. Trader consensus at 93% against an emergency cut before 2027 reflects the absence of crisis-level triggers such as sharp equity declines, liquidity strains, or abrupt labor-market deterioration, reinforced by consistent FOMC communications favoring gradual adjustments at scheduled meetings. Historical precedent shows emergency actions typically follow exogenous shocks like banking sector turmoil or rapid GDP contractions, conditions not evident in current Treasury yields, volatility measures, or incoming data releases. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or an unexpected banking event could still prompt a response, though markets currently price these risks as low-probability outliers through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$146,156終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Fed policy remains anchored to a data-dependent framework amid steady economic expansion and contained inflation pressures as of mid-2026, with the federal funds rate holding near recent levels and no signs of acute financial stress. Trader consensus at 93% against an emergency cut before 2027 reflects the absence of crisis-level triggers such as sharp equity declines, liquidity strains, or abrupt labor-market deterioration, reinforced by consistent FOMC communications favoring gradual adjustments at scheduled meetings. Historical precedent shows emergency actions typically follow exogenous shocks like banking sector turmoil or rapid GDP contractions, conditions not evident in current Treasury yields, volatility measures, or incoming data releases. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or an unexpected banking event could still prompt a response, though markets currently price these risks as low-probability outliers through year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$146,156終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Fed policy remains anchored to a data-dependent framework amid steady economic expansion and contained inflation pressures as of mid-2026, with the federal funds rate holding near recent levels and no signs of acute financial stress. Trader consensus at 93% against an emergency cut before 2027 reflects the absence of crisis-level triggers such as sharp equity declines, liquidity strains, or abrupt labor-market deterioration, reinforced by consistent FOMC communications favoring gradual adjustments at scheduled meetings. Historical precedent shows emergency actions typically follow exogenous shocks like banking sector turmoil or rapid GDP contractions, conditions not evident in current Treasury yields, volatility measures, or incoming data releases. A sudden escalation in geopolitical tensions or an unexpected banking event could still prompt a response, though markets currently price these risks as low-probability outliers through year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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