**Trader sentiment centers on Elon Musk’s recent posting pace projecting a total in the 160-179 range for the September 4–11 window.** Trackers show roughly 122 posts logged midway through the period, with daily averages near 26 posts, pointing to a final count around 180. This aligns closely with the market’s top-priced bracket at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of the neighboring 140-159 (19.6%) and 180-199 (19.5%) outcomes. Recent shorter windows have settled lower (40-64 for a three-day stretch ending September 9), reflecting a steadier rhythm without major Tesla product launches, political spikes, or platform controversies that historically drive higher volume. Historical weekly data shows wide swings—often 135–250+ posts—but the current stretch lacks the catalysts that pushed prior periods into the 200+ brackets. With only a day left, momentum favors the moderate band unless late activity accelerates sharply.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日160〜179 62%
140-159 19.6%
180〜199 17%
200～219 1.3%
$1,385,553 Vol.
$1,385,553 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
20%
160〜179
62%
180〜199
17%
200～219
1%
220〜239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300～319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500以上
<1%
160〜179 62%
140-159 19.6%
180〜199 17%
200～219 1.3%
$1,385,553 Vol.
$1,385,553 Vol.
120-139
<1%
140-159
20%
160〜179
62%
180〜199
17%
200～219
1%
220〜239
<1%
240〜259
<1%
260～279
<1%
280～299
<1%
300～319
<1%
320～339
<1%
340〜359
<1%
360〜379
<1%
380～399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480～499
<1%
500以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on Elon Musk’s recent posting pace projecting a total in the 160-179 range for the September 4–11 window.** Trackers show roughly 122 posts logged midway through the period, with daily averages near 26 posts, pointing to a final count around 180. This aligns closely with the market’s top-priced bracket at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of the neighboring 140-159 (19.6%) and 180-199 (19.5%) outcomes. Recent shorter windows have settled lower (40-64 for a three-day stretch ending September 9), reflecting a steadier rhythm without major Tesla product launches, political spikes, or platform controversies that historically drive higher volume. Historical weekly data shows wide swings—often 135–250+ posts—but the current stretch lacks the catalysts that pushed prior periods into the 200+ brackets. With only a day left, momentum favors the moderate band unless late activity accelerates sharply.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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