Elon Musk’s variable but often high-volume activity on X drives the market’s tilt toward 40-64 tweets over August 6-8, reflecting typical daily ranges of roughly 13-21 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts when excluding replies. Recent days show steady engagement without major catalysts such as product launches or high-profile controversies that historically spike output toward 65-89 or beyond. Traders weigh his established patterns of late-night bursts and responses to news against quieter stretches, with the sub-40 bracket priced as a lower-probability slowdown scenario. No confirmed events appear poised to shift momentum sharply in the immediate window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜64 49%
65～89 27%
40未満 18%
90〜114 7%
$45,404 Vol.
$45,404 Vol.
2026/08/08
40未満
18%
40〜64
49%
65～89
27%
90〜114
7%
115〜139
2%
140～164
<1%
165〜189
<1%
190～214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40〜64 49%
65～89 27%
40未満 18%
90〜114 7%
$45,404 Vol.
$45,404 Vol.
2026/08/08
40未満
$6,621 Vol.
18%
40〜64
$4,601 Vol.
49%
65～89
$3,136 Vol.
27%
90〜114
$4,410 Vol.
7%
115〜139
$6,411 Vol.
2%
140～164
$8,595 Vol.
<1%
165〜189
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
190～214
$5,767 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$1,931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable but often high-volume activity on X drives the market’s tilt toward 40-64 tweets over August 6-8, reflecting typical daily ranges of roughly 13-21 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts when excluding replies. Recent days show steady engagement without major catalysts such as product launches or high-profile controversies that historically spike output toward 65-89 or beyond. Traders weigh his established patterns of late-night bursts and responses to news against quieter stretches, with the sub-40 bracket priced as a lower-probability slowdown scenario. No confirmed events appear poised to shift momentum sharply in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$45,404終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s variable but often high-volume activity on X drives the market’s tilt toward 40-64 tweets over August 6-8, reflecting typical daily ranges of roughly 13-21 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts when excluding replies. Recent days show steady engagement without major catalysts such as product launches or high-profile controversies that historically spike output toward 65-89 or beyond. Traders weigh his established patterns of late-night bursts and responses to news against quieter stretches, with the sub-40 bracket priced as a lower-probability slowdown scenario. No confirmed events appear poised to shift momentum sharply in the immediate window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$45,404終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s variable but often high-volume activity on X drives the market’s tilt toward 40-64 tweets over August 6-8, reflecting typical daily ranges of roughly 13-21 main-feed posts, quotes, and reposts when excluding replies. Recent days show steady engagement without major catalysts such as product launches or high-profile controversies that historically spike output toward 65-89 or beyond. Traders weigh his established patterns of late-night bursts and responses to news against quieter stretches, with the sub-40 bracket priced as a lower-probability slowdown scenario. No confirmed events appear poised to shift momentum sharply in the immediate window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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