Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s August 27–29 activity because recent three-day windows have frequently settled in the low-to-mid range when weekend posting slows and no major catalysts emerge. Trackers show his daily average hovering near 35–50 posts in August, with notable dips on weekends and lulls between news cycles, while spikes to 40-plus daily often tie to political commentary or SpaceX/Tesla updates. The just-resolved August 24–26 market priced 65–89 highest, reflecting similar baseline expectations absent fresh momentum. With no confirmed launches, earnings, or viral events locked for the window, the market-implied odds capture trader consensus around moderate volume rather than an active stretch. Late-week platform engagement or breaking industry news could still push totals higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日40〜64 44%
65〜89 33%
40未満 13%
90～114 9%
新規
$19,800 Vol.
新規
$19,800 Vol.
2026/08/29
40未満
13%
40〜64
44%
65〜89
33%
90～114
9%
115～139
2%
140～164
1%
165〜189
<1%
190～214
1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40〜64 44%
65〜89 33%
40未満 13%
90～114 9%
新規
$19,800 Vol.
新規
$19,800 Vol.
2026/08/29
40未満
$1,374 Vol.
13%
40〜64
$3,314 Vol.
44%
65〜89
$2,136 Vol.
33%
90～114
$3,697 Vol.
9%
115～139
$3,360 Vol.
2%
140～164
$2,503 Vol.
1%
165〜189
$347 Vol.
<1%
190～214
$1,571 Vol.
1%
215～239
$746 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$752 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s August 27–29 activity because recent three-day windows have frequently settled in the low-to-mid range when weekend posting slows and no major catalysts emerge. Trackers show his daily average hovering near 35–50 posts in August, with notable dips on weekends and lulls between news cycles, while spikes to 40-plus daily often tie to political commentary or SpaceX/Tesla updates. The just-resolved August 24–26 market priced 65–89 highest, reflecting similar baseline expectations absent fresh momentum. With no confirmed launches, earnings, or viral events locked for the window, the market-implied odds capture trader consensus around moderate volume rather than an active stretch. Late-week platform engagement or breaking industry news could still push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
音量
$19,800終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s August 27–29 activity because recent three-day windows have frequently settled in the low-to-mid range when weekend posting slows and no major catalysts emerge. Trackers show his daily average hovering near 35–50 posts in August, with notable dips on weekends and lulls between news cycles, while spikes to 40-plus daily often tie to political commentary or SpaceX/Tesla updates. The just-resolved August 24–26 market priced 65–89 highest, reflecting similar baseline expectations absent fresh momentum. With no confirmed launches, earnings, or viral events locked for the window, the market-implied odds capture trader consensus around moderate volume rather than an active stretch. Late-week platform engagement or breaking industry news could still push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$19,800終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the leading outcome for Elon Musk’s August 27–29 activity because recent three-day windows have frequently settled in the low-to-mid range when weekend posting slows and no major catalysts emerge. Trackers show his daily average hovering near 35–50 posts in August, with notable dips on weekends and lulls between news cycles, while spikes to 40-plus daily often tie to political commentary or SpaceX/Tesla updates. The just-resolved August 24–26 market priced 65–89 highest, reflecting similar baseline expectations absent fresh momentum. With no confirmed launches, earnings, or viral events locked for the window, the market-implied odds capture trader consensus around moderate volume rather than an active stretch. Late-week platform engagement or breaking industry news could still push totals higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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