Arizona voters will decide Proposition 317 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that declares drug cartels terrorist organizations and directs the state Department of Homeland Security to use its full authority against related threats such as trafficking and smuggling. The Arizona Legislature approved the referral in 2025 after an earlier version faced veto, following strong voter support for the 2024 Secure the Border Act. As a border state facing documented cartel activity, Arizona has shown consistent backing for enforcement-focused ballot measures. The 86% implied probability for passage reflects this record of voter approval on similar issues, the absence of organized opposition campaigns, and the measure's limited scope as a state designation without altering federal policy. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日86% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
86% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona voters will decide Proposition 317 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that declares drug cartels terrorist organizations and directs the state Department of Homeland Security to use its full authority against related threats such as trafficking and smuggling. The Arizona Legislature approved the referral in 2025 after an earlier version faced veto, following strong voter support for the 2024 Secure the Border Act. As a border state facing documented cartel activity, Arizona has shown consistent backing for enforcement-focused ballot measures. The 86% implied probability for passage reflects this record of voter approval on similar issues, the absence of organized opposition campaigns, and the measure's limited scope as a state designation without altering federal policy. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona voters will decide Proposition 317 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that declares drug cartels terrorist organizations and directs the state Department of Homeland Security to use its full authority against related threats such as trafficking and smuggling. The Arizona Legislature approved the referral in 2025 after an earlier version faced veto, following strong voter support for the 2024 Secure the Border Act. As a border state facing documented cartel activity, Arizona has shown consistent backing for enforcement-focused ballot measures. The 86% implied probability for passage reflects this record of voter approval on similar issues, the absence of organized opposition campaigns, and the measure's limited scope as a state designation without altering federal policy. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Arizona voters will decide Proposition 317 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that declares drug cartels terrorist organizations and directs the state Department of Homeland Security to use its full authority against related threats such as trafficking and smuggling. The Arizona Legislature approved the referral in 2025 after an earlier version faced veto, following strong voter support for the 2024 Secure the Border Act. As a border state facing documented cartel activity, Arizona has shown consistent backing for enforcement-focused ballot measures. The 86% implied probability for passage reflects this record of voter approval on similar issues, the absence of organized opposition campaigns, and the measure's limited scope as a state designation without altering federal policy. No major developments have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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