Arizona voters will decide Proposition 318 on November 3, 2026, after Republican lawmakers referred the measure to the ballot in June via HCR 2003. The proposal would require schools and athletic associations to designate teams by biological sex recorded on original birth certificates, barring males from female teams while expanding restrictions to restrooms, locker rooms, and showers integral to athletics. The U.S. Supreme Court’s late-June ruling upholding similar state bans in Idaho and West Virginia removed key legal obstacles tied to a blocked 2022 Arizona law, bolstering momentum. A subsequent court challenge seeking to block the measure from the ballot failed in July. These developments, set against Arizona’s divided legislature and competitive electorate, underpin trader consensus favoring passage at the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
57% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
はい
57% 確率
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona voters will decide Proposition 318 on November 3, 2026, after Republican lawmakers referred the measure to the ballot in June via HCR 2003. The proposal would require schools and athletic associations to designate teams by biological sex recorded on original birth certificates, barring males from female teams while expanding restrictions to restrooms, locker rooms, and showers integral to athletics. The U.S. Supreme Court’s late-June ruling upholding similar state bans in Idaho and West Virginia removed key legal obstacles tied to a blocked 2022 Arizona law, bolstering momentum. A subsequent court challenge seeking to block the measure from the ballot failed in July. These developments, set against Arizona’s divided legislature and competitive electorate, underpin trader consensus favoring passage at the current implied probability.
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jul 8, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
音量
$182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 6:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/). Arizona voters will decide Proposition 318 on November 3, 2026, after Republican lawmakers referred the measure to the ballot in June via HCR 2003. The proposal would require schools and athletic associations to designate teams by biological sex recorded on original birth certificates, barring males from female teams while expanding restrictions to restrooms, locker rooms, and showers integral to athletics. The U.S. Supreme Court’s late-June ruling upholding similar state bans in Idaho and West Virginia removed key legal obstacles tied to a blocked 2022 Arizona law, bolstering momentum. A subsequent court challenge seeking to block the measure from the ballot failed in July. These developments, set against Arizona’s divided legislature and competitive electorate, underpin trader consensus favoring passage at the current implied probability.
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Arizona, including the Arizona Secretary of State (https://azsos.gov/).
音量
$182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jul 8, 2026, 6:18 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Arizona voters will decide Proposition 318 on November 3, 2026, after Republican lawmakers referred the measure to the ballot in June via HCR 2003. The proposal would require schools and athletic associations to designate teams by biological sex recorded on original birth certificates, barring males from female teams while expanding restrictions to restrooms, locker rooms, and showers integral to athletics. The U.S. Supreme Court’s late-June ruling upholding similar state bans in Idaho and West Virginia removed key legal obstacles tied to a blocked 2022 Arizona law, bolstering momentum. A subsequent court challenge seeking to block the measure from the ballot failed in July. These developments, set against Arizona’s divided legislature and competitive electorate, underpin trader consensus favoring passage at the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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