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icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

icon for イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?

9月 1

9月 1

800-839 15.6%

740-759 12.0%

840-879 12.0%

760-779 10.9%

Polymarket

$158,244 Vol.

800-839 15.6%

740-759 12.0%

840-879 12.0%

760-779 10.9%

Polymarket

$158,244 Vol.

380-399

$429 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$435 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$5,043 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$3,637 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$7,034 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$13,764 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$8,375 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$7,759 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$8,440 Vol.

1%

560-579

$8,154 Vol.

1%

580-599

$4,592 Vol.

1%

600-619

$6,471 Vol.

2%

620-639

$6,825 Vol.

4%

640-659

$3,904 Vol.

5%

660-679

$3,638 Vol.

4%

680-699

$3,922 Vol.

9%

700-719

$2,641 Vol.

7%

720-739

$2,673 Vol.

9%

740-759

$3,537 Vol.

12%

760-779

$3,239 Vol.

11%

780-799

$3,409 Vol.

10%

800-839

$4,973 Vol.

16%

840-879

$5,608 Vol.

12%

880-919

$5,208 Vol.

6%

920-959

$5,705 Vol.

3%

960-999

$11,231 Vol.

2%

1000+

$7,212 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 700–900 tweet range dominating August 2026 sentiment because Elon Musk’s recent daily pace on X has stabilized in the mid-20s to low-40s, driven by routine updates on Grok AI iterations, Tesla production metrics, and SpaceX milestones rather than viral spikes or controversies. Submarket tracking through mid-August shows steady output without major earnings releases or public disputes that historically inflate volume, keeping bins like 800–839 and 840–879 narrowly ahead of 740–759. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether late-month product teases or platform developments could push totals higher or keep them anchored near weekly averages, with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock among these closely matched outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$158,244
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 700–900 tweet range dominating August 2026 sentiment because Elon Musk’s recent daily pace on X has stabilized in the mid-20s to low-40s, driven by routine updates on Grok AI iterations, Tesla production metrics, and SpaceX milestones rather than viral spikes or controversies. Submarket tracking through mid-August shows steady output without major earnings releases or public disputes that historically inflate volume, keeping bins like 800–839 and 840–879 narrowly ahead of 740–759. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether late-month product teases or platform developments could push totals higher or keep them anchored near weekly averages, with no single catalyst yet breaking the deadlock among these closely matched outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$158,244
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」はPolymarket上の46+個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「800-839」で16%、次いで「740-759」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、16¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に16%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」は$158.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 24, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている46+個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「800-839」で16%であり、市場がこの結果に16%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「740-759」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスクが2026年8月にツイートしましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。