Phoebe Bridgers’ third studio album *Lost Weekend*, released August 14 via Dead Oceans, benefits from six years of built-up anticipation following *Punisher* and strong early critical reception, including an 8.4 from Pitchfork. Traders see the 110-120k bracket leading at 68% implied probability because her dedicated indie-folk audience, preorder momentum, and positive reviews position the project for solid pure sales and streaming numbers without blockbuster pop crossover. The 120-130k range at 47.5% reflects expectations of steady chart performance in a competitive week, while lower probabilities for 150k+ highlight realistic barriers from genre norms and historical precedent. First-week data through August 20 will clarify momentum, with any viral tracks or additional media coverage as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フィービー・ブリッジャーズ「ロスト・ウィークエンド」初週アルバムセール？ （高括弧）
フィービー・ブリッジャーズ「ロスト・ウィークエンド」初週アルバムセール？ （高括弧）
11万〜12万枚 57%
12万〜13万枚 25%
15万枚以上 25%
11万枚未満 24%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
11万枚未満
24%
11万〜12万枚
68%
12万〜13万枚
25%
13万〜14万
24%
14万〜15万枚
24%
15万枚以上
25%
11万〜12万枚 57%
12万〜13万枚 25%
15万枚以上 25%
11万枚未満 24%
新規
新規
2026/08/21
11万枚未満
$0 Vol.
24%
11万〜12万枚
$20 Vol.
68%
12万〜13万枚
$0 Vol.
25%
13万〜14万
$0 Vol.
24%
14万〜15万枚
$0 Vol.
24%
15万枚以上
$0 Vol.
25%
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Phoebe Bridgers’ third studio album *Lost Weekend*, released August 14 via Dead Oceans, benefits from six years of built-up anticipation following *Punisher* and strong early critical reception, including an 8.4 from Pitchfork. Traders see the 110-120k bracket leading at 68% implied probability because her dedicated indie-folk audience, preorder momentum, and positive reviews position the project for solid pure sales and streaming numbers without blockbuster pop crossover. The 120-130k range at 47.5% reflects expectations of steady chart performance in a competitive week, while lower probabilities for 150k+ highlight realistic barriers from genre norms and historical precedent. First-week data through August 20 will clarify momentum, with any viral tracks or additional media coverage as key swing factors.
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Phoebe Bridgers’ third studio album *Lost Weekend*, released August 14 via Dead Oceans, benefits from six years of built-up anticipation following *Punisher* and strong early critical reception, including an 8.4 from Pitchfork. Traders see the 110-120k bracket leading at 68% implied probability because her dedicated indie-folk audience, preorder momentum, and positive reviews position the project for solid pure sales and streaming numbers without blockbuster pop crossover. The 120-130k range at 47.5% reflects expectations of steady chart performance in a competitive week, while lower probabilities for 150k+ highlight realistic barriers from genre norms and historical precedent. First-week data through August 20 will clarify momentum, with any viral tracks or additional media coverage as key swing factors.
Phoebe Bridgers's new album 'Lost Weekend' is expected to release August 14, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Phoebe Bridgers's album 'Lost Weekend', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Lost Weekend' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$20終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Phoebe Bridgers’ third studio album *Lost Weekend*, released August 14 via Dead Oceans, benefits from six years of built-up anticipation following *Punisher* and strong early critical reception, including an 8.4 from Pitchfork. Traders see the 110-120k bracket leading at 68% implied probability because her dedicated indie-folk audience, preorder momentum, and positive reviews position the project for solid pure sales and streaming numbers without blockbuster pop crossover. The 120-130k range at 47.5% reflects expectations of steady chart performance in a competitive week, while lower probabilities for 150k+ highlight realistic barriers from genre norms and historical precedent. First-week data through August 20 will clarify momentum, with any viral tracks or additional media coverage as key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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