Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, and primary challenger Eric Jones advanced from the June 2 top-two primary to the November general election. The district's nonpartisan primary featured multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, alongside Jones as the main intra-party contender to Thompson. California's top-two system sends the highest vote recipients forward regardless of affiliation, with Thompson benefiting from established name recognition, party endorsement, and superior fundraising in a district that strongly favors Democrats. No further primary developments are scheduled, leaving the general election matchup set pending final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,731 Vol.
2026/06/02
マイク・トンプソン
100%
エリック・ジョーンズ
72%
シャロン・ブラウン
2%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
1%
ローリー・マッケンジー
1%
マンディ・グシャル
1%
トレバー・メレル
<1%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
<1%
$43,731 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
$7,711 Vol.
100%
エリック・ジョーンズ
$12,904 Vol.
72%
シャロン・ブラウン
$4,452 Vol.
2%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
$1,903 Vol.
1%
ローリー・マッケンジー
$868 Vol.
1%
マンディ・グシャル
$3,238 Vol.
1%
トレバー・メレル
$10,866 Vol.
<1%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
$1,790 Vol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, and primary challenger Eric Jones advanced from the June 2 top-two primary to the November general election. The district's nonpartisan primary featured multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, alongside Jones as the main intra-party contender to Thompson. California's top-two system sends the highest vote recipients forward regardless of affiliation, with Thompson benefiting from established name recognition, party endorsement, and superior fundraising in a district that strongly favors Democrats. No further primary developments are scheduled, leaving the general election matchup set pending final certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
音量
$43,731終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, and primary challenger Eric Jones advanced from the June 2 top-two primary to the November general election. The district's nonpartisan primary featured multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, alongside Jones as the main intra-party contender to Thompson. California's top-two system sends the highest vote recipients forward regardless of affiliation, with Thompson benefiting from established name recognition, party endorsement, and superior fundraising in a district that strongly favors Democrats. No further primary developments are scheduled, leaving the general election matchup set pending final certification.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$43,731終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, seeking a 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, and primary challenger Eric Jones advanced from the June 2 top-two primary to the November general election. The district's nonpartisan primary featured multiple Republican candidates, including Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, alongside Jones as the main intra-party contender to Thompson. California's top-two system sends the highest vote recipients forward regardless of affiliation, with Thompson benefiting from established name recognition, party endorsement, and superior fundraising in a district that strongly favors Democrats. No further primary developments are scheduled, leaving the general election matchup set pending final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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