Andy Burnham holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the Makerfield by-election due to his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor, strong local recognition, and Labour’s organizational advantages in a seat the party has held for decades. The contest, triggered by Josh Simons’ May 2026 resignation to create an opening for Burnham, has drawn national attention as a potential route for him to return to Westminster and challenge Keir Starmer. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon benefits from the party’s recent local election gains and anti-immigration messaging in the North West, yet faces headwinds from split opposition votes and voter concerns over past social media posts. A recent BBC debate and late-campaign polling have reinforced the two-horse race dynamic, with the 18 June vote date leaving limited time for major shifts. Minor candidates remain long shots given the polarized contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Andy Burnham 87%
Robert Kenyon 13%
レベッカ・シェパード 2.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$3,244,096 Vol.
$3,244,096 Vol.
Andy Burnham
87%
Robert Kenyon
13%
レベッカ・シェパード
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 87%
Robert Kenyon 13%
レベッカ・シェパード 2.5%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$3,244,096 Vol.
$3,244,096 Vol.
Andy Burnham
87%
Robert Kenyon
13%
レベッカ・シェパード
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
マーケット開始日： May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for the Makerfield by-election due to his established profile as Greater Manchester mayor, strong local recognition, and Labour’s organizational advantages in a seat the party has held for decades. The contest, triggered by Josh Simons’ May 2026 resignation to create an opening for Burnham, has drawn national attention as a potential route for him to return to Westminster and challenge Keir Starmer. Reform UK candidate Robert Kenyon benefits from the party’s recent local election gains and anti-immigration messaging in the North West, yet faces headwinds from split opposition votes and voter concerns over past social media posts. A recent BBC debate and late-campaign polling have reinforced the two-horse race dynamic, with the 18 June vote date leaving limited time for major shifts. Minor candidates remain long shots given the polarized contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問