Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge in the May 2026 primary runoff by defeating incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr., capturing roughly 55% of the vote after advancing from the March primary. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, Texas, this victory positions Guerra as the frontrunner for the November general election against Republican Mauro Garza and other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantage of Democratic incumbency patterns in the county and Guerra's established local profile, including prior service on the Port of Brownsville board. While the implied probability favors Guerra strongly, shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
92%
Mauro Garza
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
$5,058 Vol.
92%
Mauro Garza
$331 Vol.
7%
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge in the May 2026 primary runoff by defeating incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr., capturing roughly 55% of the vote after advancing from the March primary. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, Texas, this victory positions Guerra as the frontrunner for the November general election against Republican Mauro Garza and other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantage of Democratic incumbency patterns in the county and Guerra's established local profile, including prior service on the Port of Brownsville board. While the implied probability favors Guerra strongly, shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before Election Day.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$5,390終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge in the May 2026 primary runoff by defeating incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr., capturing roughly 55% of the vote after advancing from the March primary. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, Texas, this victory positions Guerra as the frontrunner for the November general election against Republican Mauro Garza and other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantage of Democratic incumbency patterns in the county and Guerra's established local profile, including prior service on the Port of Brownsville board. While the implied probability favors Guerra strongly, shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before Election Day.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
音量
$5,390終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esteban "Steve" Guerra secured the Democratic nomination for Cameron County Judge in the May 2026 primary runoff by defeating incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr., capturing roughly 55% of the vote after advancing from the March primary. In heavily Democratic Cameron County, Texas, this victory positions Guerra as the frontrunner for the November general election against Republican Mauro Garza and other listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects the structural advantage of Democratic incumbency patterns in the county and Guerra's established local profile, including prior service on the Port of Brownsville board. While the implied probability favors Guerra strongly, shifts could occur from unusually high Republican turnout, late campaign developments, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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