Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 32% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of September, reflecting recent strong showings from its Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 variants on the dynamic benchmark. Close contenders from Moonshot (Kimi), Z.ai, and Google sit near 23-26% amid rapid model releases that keep scores tightly clustered across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI trails at 13.5% despite GPT-5 family updates, while lower odds for Meta, DeepSeek, and others underscore the fragmented landscape where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Traders are pricing in ongoing frontier competition and potential late-summer releases that could alter current leaderboard positions before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?
Anthropic 52%
Xiaomi 34%
Z.ai 26%
Alibaba 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
Anthropic
35%
Xiaomi
34%
Z.ai
26%
Alibaba
22%
OpenAI
22%
Moonshot
21%
ByteDance
18%
Amazon
17%
Meituan
17%
Tencent
16%
DeepSeek
16%
Baidu
10%
8%
SpaceXAI
23%
Nvidia
8%
Thinky
16%
Mistral
19%
MiniMax
14%
Microsoft
4%
StepFun
3%
Meta
30%
Anthropic 52%
Xiaomi 34%
Z.ai 26%
Alibaba 22%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
Anthropic
$138 Vol.
35%
Xiaomi
$91 Vol.
34%
Z.ai
$91 Vol.
26%
Alibaba
$91 Vol.
22%
OpenAI
$91 Vol.
22%
Moonshot
$91 Vol.
21%
ByteDance
$91 Vol.
18%
Amazon
$91 Vol.
17%
Meituan
$91 Vol.
17%
Tencent
$91 Vol.
16%
DeepSeek
$91 Vol.
16%
Baidu
$86 Vol.
10%
$85 Vol.
8%
SpaceXAI
$86 Vol.
23%
Nvidia
$80 Vol.
8%
Thinky
$91 Vol.
16%
Mistral
$128 Vol.
19%
MiniMax
$91 Vol.
14%
Microsoft
$84 Vol.
4%
StepFun
$91 Vol.
3%
Meta
$91 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 32% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of September, reflecting recent strong showings from its Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 variants on the dynamic benchmark. Close contenders from Moonshot (Kimi), Z.ai, and Google sit near 23-26% amid rapid model releases that keep scores tightly clustered across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI trails at 13.5% despite GPT-5 family updates, while lower odds for Meta, DeepSeek, and others underscore the fragmented landscape where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Traders are pricing in ongoing frontier competition and potential late-summer releases that could alter current leaderboard positions before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercato aperto: Jul 29, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,967Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:13 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 32% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of September, reflecting recent strong showings from its Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 variants on the dynamic benchmark. Close contenders from Moonshot (Kimi), Z.ai, and Google sit near 23-26% amid rapid model releases that keep scores tightly clustered across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI trails at 13.5% despite GPT-5 family updates, while lower odds for Meta, DeepSeek, and others underscore the fragmented landscape where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Traders are pricing in ongoing frontier competition and potential late-summer releases that could alter current leaderboard positions before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,967Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 29, 2026, 6:13 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://livebench.ai/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the highest market-implied odds at 32% for the top LiveBench overall score by end of September, reflecting recent strong showings from its Claude 5 Opus and Fable 5 variants on the dynamic benchmark. Close contenders from Moonshot (Kimi), Z.ai, and Google sit near 23-26% amid rapid model releases that keep scores tightly clustered across reasoning, coding, and knowledge categories. OpenAI trails at 13.5% despite GPT-5 family updates, while lower odds for Meta, DeepSeek, and others underscore the fragmented landscape where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Traders are pricing in ongoing frontier competition and potential late-summer releases that could alter current leaderboard positions before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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