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icon for Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?
Clima E Scienza·Weather

Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?

icon for Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?
Clima E Scienza·Weather

Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?

Edouard 33%

Cristobal 30%

Dolly 11%

Paulette 10%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Edouard 33%

Cristobal 30%

Dolly 11%

Paulette 10%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Cristobal

$162 Vol.

42%

Dolly

$86 Vol.

30%

Edouard

$222 Vol.

19%

Fay

$72 Vol.

5%

Gonzalo

$72 Vol.

4%

Hanna

$73 Vol.

5%

Isaias

$88 Vol.

5%

Josephine

$55 Vol.

5%

Kyle

$94 Vol.

4%

Leah

$59 Vol.

4%

Marco

$107 Vol.

9%

Nana

$51 Vol.

8%

Omar

$63 Vol.

9%

Paulette

$67 Vol.

10%

Rene

$63 Vol.

5%

Sally

$131 Vol.

3%

Teddy

$63 Vol.

5%

Vicky

$90 Vol.

8%

Wilfred

$118 Vol.

4%

Altro

$63 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season remains below normal after Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha formed in June and July without reaching hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds). With only two names used, the alphabetical list positions Cristobal as the next potential system, followed by Dolly and Edouard, driving their market-implied odds of 42%, 29.5%, and 19.5%. Ongoing El Niño conditions are sustaining elevated vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air across the basin, limiting intensification potential in early August per NOAA and CSU guidance. Any near-term tropical cyclone forming in the Gulf or western Atlantic faces reduced odds of rapid strengthening before later names enter the sequence. Peak-season monitoring through the National Hurricane Center’s model runs will determine whether the first hurricane occurs from one of these early candidates or requires waiting for subsequent disturbances.

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.

All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).

This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Volume
$1,801
Data di fine
2 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season remains below normal after Tropical Storms Arthur and Bertha formed in June and July without reaching hurricane strength (74 mph sustained winds). With only two names used, the alphabetical list positions Cristobal as the next potential system, followed by Dolly and Edouard, driving their market-implied odds of 42%, 29.5%, and 19.5%. Ongoing El Niño conditions are sustaining elevated vertical wind shear and drier mid-level air across the basin, limiting intensification potential in early August per NOAA and CSU guidance. Any near-term tropical cyclone forming in the Gulf or western Atlantic faces reduced odds of rapid strengthening before later names enter the sequence. Peak-season monitoring through the National Hurricane Center’s model runs will determine whether the first hurricane occurs from one of these early candidates or requires waiting for subsequent disturbances.

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".

A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.

All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).

This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.
Volume
$1,801
Data di fine
2 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

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Domande frequenti

"Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 20 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Cristobal" a 42%, seguito da "Dolly" a 30%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 24, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?", esplora i 20 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?" è "Cristobal" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dolly" a 30%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Come si chiamerà il primo uragano nell'Atlantico per la stagione degli uragani 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.