The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel amid a Level 4 travel advisory, following earlier drawdowns tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and regional security risks involving Hezbollah. On August 25, the State Department signaled reduced immediate escalation risks by preparing to return diplomats, with Beirut among the first posts to see staff increases—though initially capped at 85% staffing and with family restrictions continuing. This adjustment reflects ongoing security reviews and assessments that full-scale hostilities are unlikely in the near term, even as sanctions on Iran persist and talks remain stalled. Traders weigh these de-escalation signals against potential triggers such as renewed Hezbollah-Israel clashes or diplomatic setbacks that could prompt renewed ordered departures before any resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
Gli Stati Uniti evacuano l'ambasciata di Beirut entro...?
$117,835 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre
4%
$117,835 Vol.
31 dicembre
$23,733 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel amid a Level 4 travel advisory, following earlier drawdowns tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and regional security risks involving Hezbollah. On August 25, the State Department signaled reduced immediate escalation risks by preparing to return diplomats, with Beirut among the first posts to see staff increases—though initially capped at 85% staffing and with family restrictions continuing. This adjustment reflects ongoing security reviews and assessments that full-scale hostilities are unlikely in the near term, even as sanctions on Iran persist and talks remain stalled. Traders weigh these de-escalation signals against potential triggers such as renewed Hezbollah-Israel clashes or diplomatic setbacks that could prompt renewed ordered departures before any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$117,835Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel amid a Level 4 travel advisory, following earlier drawdowns tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and regional security risks involving Hezbollah. On August 25, the State Department signaled reduced immediate escalation risks by preparing to return diplomats, with Beirut among the first posts to see staff increases—though initially capped at 85% staffing and with family restrictions continuing. This adjustment reflects ongoing security reviews and assessments that full-scale hostilities are unlikely in the near term, even as sanctions on Iran persist and talks remain stalled. Traders weigh these de-escalation signals against potential triggers such as renewed Hezbollah-Israel clashes or diplomatic setbacks that could prompt renewed ordered departures before any resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$117,835Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains on ordered departure status for non-essential personnel amid a Level 4 travel advisory, following earlier drawdowns tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and regional security risks involving Hezbollah. On August 25, the State Department signaled reduced immediate escalation risks by preparing to return diplomats, with Beirut among the first posts to see staff increases—though initially capped at 85% staffing and with family restrictions continuing. This adjustment reflects ongoing security reviews and assessments that full-scale hostilities are unlikely in the near term, even as sanctions on Iran persist and talks remain stalled. Traders weigh these de-escalation signals against potential triggers such as renewed Hezbollah-Israel clashes or diplomatic setbacks that could prompt renewed ordered departures before any resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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