Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early accumulation have anchored trader sentiment around sub-$900 million domestic totals by August 31, with the <900m outcome holding a 53% implied probability. The film launched July 31 to a record $360 million domestic debut and quickly surpassed $550 million in its first week, yet second-weekend estimates near $143 million reflect typical superhero drop-offs that limit further acceleration. Historical legs for similar MCU entries, combined with August competition and the short remaining theatrical window, keep higher brackets like 900-920m at 35.5% while outcomes above $1 billion stay in single digits. Key upcoming catalysts include the next few weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength that could shift momentum before the August 31 cutoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto? (Colpi superiori)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto? (Colpi superiori)
<900m 51%
900 - 920m 22%
1020 - 1040m 18%
920 - 940m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
<900m
51%
900 - 920m
42%
920 - 940m
12%
940 - 960m
5%
960 - 980m
18%
980 - 1000m
7%
1000 - 1020m
17%
1020 - 1040m
18%
1040 - 1060m
16%
1060 - 1080m
10%
1080m+
8%
<900m 51%
900 - 920m 22%
1020 - 1040m 18%
920 - 940m 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
<900m
$165 Vol.
51%
900 - 920m
$65 Vol.
42%
920 - 940m
$304 Vol.
12%
940 - 960m
$794 Vol.
5%
960 - 980m
$45 Vol.
18%
980 - 1000m
$372 Vol.
7%
1000 - 1020m
$86 Vol.
17%
1020 - 1040m
$30 Vol.
18%
1040 - 1060m
$45 Vol.
16%
1060 - 1080m
$57 Vol.
10%
1080m+
$51 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early accumulation have anchored trader sentiment around sub-$900 million domestic totals by August 31, with the <900m outcome holding a 53% implied probability. The film launched July 31 to a record $360 million domestic debut and quickly surpassed $550 million in its first week, yet second-weekend estimates near $143 million reflect typical superhero drop-offs that limit further acceleration. Historical legs for similar MCU entries, combined with August competition and the short remaining theatrical window, keep higher brackets like 900-920m at 35.5% while outcomes above $1 billion stay in single digits. Key upcoming catalysts include the next few weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength that could shift momentum before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Volume
$2,014Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early accumulation have anchored trader sentiment around sub-$900 million domestic totals by August 31, with the <900m outcome holding a 53% implied probability. The film launched July 31 to a record $360 million domestic debut and quickly surpassed $550 million in its first week, yet second-weekend estimates near $143 million reflect typical superhero drop-offs that limit further acceleration. Historical legs for similar MCU entries, combined with August competition and the short remaining theatrical window, keep higher brackets like 900-920m at 35.5% while outcomes above $1 billion stay in single digits. Key upcoming catalysts include the next few weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength that could shift momentum before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,014Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong opening weekend performance and rapid early accumulation have anchored trader sentiment around sub-$900 million domestic totals by August 31, with the <900m outcome holding a 53% implied probability. The film launched July 31 to a record $360 million domestic debut and quickly surpassed $550 million in its first week, yet second-weekend estimates near $143 million reflect typical superhero drop-offs that limit further acceleration. Historical legs for similar MCU entries, combined with August competition and the short remaining theatrical window, keep higher brackets like 900-920m at 35.5% while outcomes above $1 billion stay in single digits. Key upcoming catalysts include the next few weekend updates and any late-summer holdover strength that could shift momentum before the August 31 cutoff.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il totale degli incassi nazionali per Spider-Man: Brand New Day supererà almeno i 900 milioni entro il 31 agosto?
63%
Sì
Il box office del secondo weekend di "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" sarà tra 140 e 150 milioni?
94%
Sì
Il totale degli incassi nazionali per The Odyssey sarà compreso tra 530 e 550 milioni entro il 31 agosto?
70%
Sì
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