"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has shattered domestic box office records with its $360 million opening weekend, the largest ever, driving it past $550 million domestically in roughly ten days and establishing the 900m+ outcome as the clear market leader at 61.4% implied probability. Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has fueled exceptional legs and daily records that outpace predecessors like "No Way Home." With minimal competition and ongoing IMAX availability through the month, traders see the film tracking for a final domestic total well above $1 billion, making an August 31 cumulative in the 900m+ range the consensus view while the 800-900m band retains secondary support at 38.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
900 mln+ 61.5%
800 - 900 milioni 39%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$697,979 Vol.
$697,979 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
1%
800 - 900 milioni
39%
900 mln+
61%
900 mln+ 61.5%
800 - 900 milioni 39%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$697,979 Vol.
$697,979 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$21,005 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$26,654 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$41,595 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
$54,418 Vol.
1%
800 - 900 milioni
$99,998 Vol.
39%
900 mln+
$448,100 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen."Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has shattered domestic box office records with its $360 million opening weekend, the largest ever, driving it past $550 million domestically in roughly ten days and establishing the 900m+ outcome as the clear market leader at 61.4% implied probability. Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has fueled exceptional legs and daily records that outpace predecessors like "No Way Home." With minimal competition and ongoing IMAX availability through the month, traders see the film tracking for a final domestic total well above $1 billion, making an August 31 cumulative in the 900m+ range the consensus view while the 800-900m band retains secondary support at 38.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$697,979Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen."Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has shattered domestic box office records with its $360 million opening weekend, the largest ever, driving it past $550 million domestically in roughly ten days and establishing the 900m+ outcome as the clear market leader at 61.4% implied probability. Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has fueled exceptional legs and daily records that outpace predecessors like "No Way Home." With minimal competition and ongoing IMAX availability through the month, traders see the film tracking for a final domestic total well above $1 billion, making an August 31 cumulative in the 900m+ range the consensus view while the 800-900m band retains secondary support at 38.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$697,979Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D..."Spider-Man: Brand New Day" has shattered domestic box office records with its $360 million opening weekend, the largest ever, driving it past $550 million domestically in roughly ten days and establishing the 900m+ outcome as the clear market leader at 61.4% implied probability. Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, combined with strong critical reception and audience scores, has fueled exceptional legs and daily records that outpace predecessors like "No Way Home." With minimal competition and ongoing IMAX availability through the month, traders see the film tracking for a final domestic total well above $1 billion, making an August 31 cumulative in the 900m+ range the consensus view while the 800-900m band retains secondary support at 38.5%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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