**Strong opening performance and sustained momentum position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a substantial domestic total by August 31.** The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel delivered a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the biggest opening in North American box office history, followed by the fastest path to $400 million and $500 million domestically. As of early August, the film has already surpassed $550 million domestically while maintaining exceptional weekday holds and drawing IMAX audiences. With minimal competition through the end of the month and robust word-of-mouth, trader consensus heavily favors totals exceeding $800 million, reflected in the 62.7% implied probability on 900 million-plus. Key catalysts ahead include the second and third weekends plus any late-summer family audience surges that could accelerate the climb toward nine figures more.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
900 mln+ 62.5%
800 - 900 milioni 38%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$697,124 Vol.
$697,124 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
<1%
800 - 900 milioni
38%
900 mln+
63%
900 mln+ 62.5%
800 - 900 milioni 38%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
600 - 700 milioni <1%
$697,124 Vol.
$697,124 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$21,005 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$26,654 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$41,595 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
$54,083 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900 milioni
$99,848 Vol.
38%
900 mln+
$447,730 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening performance and sustained momentum position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a substantial domestic total by August 31.** The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel delivered a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the biggest opening in North American box office history, followed by the fastest path to $400 million and $500 million domestically. As of early August, the film has already surpassed $550 million domestically while maintaining exceptional weekday holds and drawing IMAX audiences. With minimal competition through the end of the month and robust word-of-mouth, trader consensus heavily favors totals exceeding $800 million, reflected in the 62.7% implied probability on 900 million-plus. Key catalysts ahead include the second and third weekends plus any late-summer family audience surges that could accelerate the climb toward nine figures more.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$697,124Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong opening performance and sustained momentum position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a substantial domestic total by August 31.** The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel delivered a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the biggest opening in North American box office history, followed by the fastest path to $400 million and $500 million domestically. As of early August, the film has already surpassed $550 million domestically while maintaining exceptional weekday holds and drawing IMAX audiences. With minimal competition through the end of the month and robust word-of-mouth, trader consensus heavily favors totals exceeding $800 million, reflected in the 62.7% implied probability on 900 million-plus. Key catalysts ahead include the second and third weekends plus any late-summer family audience surges that could accelerate the climb toward nine figures more.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$697,124Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong opening performance and sustained momentum position “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” for a substantial domestic total by August 31.** The Tom Holland-Zendaya sequel delivered a record $360 million domestic debut weekend in late July, the biggest opening in North American box office history, followed by the fastest path to $400 million and $500 million domestically. As of early August, the film has already surpassed $550 million domestically while maintaining exceptional weekday holds and drawing IMAX audiences. With minimal competition through the end of the month and robust word-of-mouth, trader consensus heavily favors totals exceeding $800 million, reflected in the 62.7% implied probability on 900 million-plus. Key catalysts ahead include the second and third weekends plus any late-summer family audience surges that could accelerate the climb toward nine figures more.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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