Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" totale lordo nazionale entro il 31 agosto?
900 mln+ 65.4%
800 - 900 milioni 34%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
<400 mln <1%
$689,008 Vol.
$689,008 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
1%
800 - 900 milioni
34%
900 mln+
65%
900 mln+ 65.4%
800 - 900 milioni 34%
700 - 800 milioni <1%
<400 mln <1%
$689,008 Vol.
$689,008 Vol.
31 ago 2026
<400 mln
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500 milioni
$21,005 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600 milioni
$26,654 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700 milioni
$39,584 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800 milioni
$53,074 Vol.
1%
800 - 900 milioni
$98,885 Vol.
34%
900 mln+
$443,597 Vol.
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$689,008Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$689,008Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $550 million in its first 10 days have anchored trader sentiment around an 800–900 million or higher total by August 31. The film’s legs remain robust thanks to strong word-of-mouth, repeat viewings from the Tom Holland–Zendaya fanbase, and premium-format holdover, mirroring the trajectory of prior summer tentpoles that maintained 1.5× or better multipliers despite August release timing. With only three weeks remaining before the market resolves, momentum from the biggest Tuesday ever ($42 million) and continued front-loaded business points to limited downside risk, while any sustained second-weekend drop above 55 percent could cap upside near the lower end of the 800–900 million band. Precedent from comparable Marvel entries released late in the summer supports the current implied-probability split.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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