**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, giving it enormous momentum heading into its second weekend. Daily grosses through the first week, including a $42 million Tuesday that set an all-time mark, have translated into industry tracking of roughly $135–143 million for the Aug. 7–9 frame. That pace comfortably clears the sub-$180 million threshold that now carries a 99.8% market-implied probability. With no significant counterprogramming and strong word-of-mouth supporting holdover play, an upset into the 180–220 million range would require an unprecedented late surge in ticket sales that current data shows no sign of materializing. Final numbers will lock over the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office
<180m 99.8%
180-190 milioni <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milioni <1%
$60,476 Vol.
$60,476 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
100%
180-190 milioni
<1%
190-200m
<1%
200-210 milioni
<1%
210-220 milioni
<1%
220 milioni+
<1%
<180m 99.8%
180-190 milioni <1%
190-200m <1%
200-210 milioni <1%
$60,476 Vol.
$60,476 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<180m
$41,098 Vol.
100%
180-190 milioni
$5,434 Vol.
<1%
190-200m
$4,010 Vol.
<1%
200-210 milioni
$1,936 Vol.
<1%
210-220 milioni
$3,503 Vol.
<1%
220 milioni+
$4,495 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, giving it enormous momentum heading into its second weekend. Daily grosses through the first week, including a $42 million Tuesday that set an all-time mark, have translated into industry tracking of roughly $135–143 million for the Aug. 7–9 frame. That pace comfortably clears the sub-$180 million threshold that now carries a 99.8% market-implied probability. With no significant counterprogramming and strong word-of-mouth supporting holdover play, an upset into the 180–220 million range would require an unprecedented late surge in ticket sales that current data shows no sign of materializing. Final numbers will lock over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$60,476Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, giving it enormous momentum heading into its second weekend. Daily grosses through the first week, including a $42 million Tuesday that set an all-time mark, have translated into industry tracking of roughly $135–143 million for the Aug. 7–9 frame. That pace comfortably clears the sub-$180 million threshold that now carries a 99.8% market-implied probability. With no significant counterprogramming and strong word-of-mouth supporting holdover play, an upset into the 180–220 million range would require an unprecedented late surge in ticket sales that current data shows no sign of materializing. Final numbers will lock over the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$60,476Data di fine
9 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31, giving it enormous momentum heading into its second weekend. Daily grosses through the first week, including a $42 million Tuesday that set an all-time mark, have translated into industry tracking of roughly $135–143 million for the Aug. 7–9 frame. That pace comfortably clears the sub-$180 million threshold that now carries a 99.8% market-implied probability. With no significant counterprogramming and strong word-of-mouth supporting holdover play, an upset into the 180–220 million range would require an unprecedented late surge in ticket sales that current data shows no sign of materializing. Final numbers will lock over the next 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il box office del secondo weekend di "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" sarà tra 140 e 150 milioni?
94%
Sì
Il totale degli incassi nazionali per Spider-Man: Brand New Day supererà almeno i 900 milioni entro il 31 agosto?
61%
Sì
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
49%
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