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Politica·Primarie

Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg

icon for Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg
Politica·Primarie

Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg

Polymarket
NUOVO

$10,802 Vol.

Polymarket
NUOVO

$10,802 Vol.

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$8,604 Vol.

98%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$2,198 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.Ralph Norman holds a commanding position in the Spartanburg County portion of the August 25 Republican Senate runoff due to his decisive 38 percent showing there in the August 11 special primary, where he outpaced Darline Graham by 14 points amid low turnout. Norman’s established base in the Upstate, including strong performance across his congressional district and neighboring counties, aligns with the region’s conservative electorate that has previously favored hard-line candidates over establishment figures. Graham, appointed to finish her brother’s term and backed by President Trump, carried more statewide counties but trailed significantly in Spartanburg. With early voting already underway and only two days remaining before the runoff, Norman’s local organizational edge and voter familiarity limit realistic paths for Graham to close the gap in this specific county.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
Volume
$10,802
Data di fine
25 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.Ralph Norman holds a commanding position in the Spartanburg County portion of the August 25 Republican Senate runoff due to his decisive 38 percent showing there in the August 11 special primary, where he outpaced Darline Graham by 14 points amid low turnout. Norman’s established base in the Upstate, including strong performance across his congressional district and neighboring counties, aligns with the region’s conservative electorate that has previously favored hard-line candidates over establishment figures. Graham, appointed to finish her brother’s term and backed by President Trump, carried more statewide counties but trailed significantly in Spartanburg. With early voting already underway and only two days remaining before the runoff, Norman’s local organizational edge and voter familiarity limit realistic paths for Graham to close the gap in this specific county.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.
Volume
$10,802
Data di fine
25 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Spartanburg County in the Special Republican Primary Runoff for United States Senator from South Carolina, which is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Spartanburg County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of South Carolina, including the Election Commission and the government of Spartanburg County.

Correlati

icon for Ralph Norman vincerà la contea di Greenville nel ballottaggio delle primarie speciali per il Senato della Carolina del Sud?

Ralph Norman vincerà la contea di Greenville nel ballottaggio delle primarie speciali per il Senato della Carolina del Sud?

97%
Sì
icon for Darline Graham Nordone vincerà la contea di Richland nel ballottaggio delle primarie speciali del Senato della Carolina del Sud?

Darline Graham Nordone vincerà la contea di Richland nel ballottaggio delle primarie speciali del Senato della Carolina del Sud?

94%
Sì
icon for Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

Will Ralph Norman win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?

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Domande frequenti

"Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ralph Norman" a 98%, seguito da "Darline Graham Nordone" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg" ha generato $10.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg" è "Ralph Norman" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Darline Graham Nordone" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Runoff primario speciale del Senato repubblicano della Carolina del Sud: vincitore della contea di Spartanburg" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.