The high probability assigned to "No" for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becoming law in 2026 reflects the bill's repeated House passage—most recently in February 2026—without corresponding Senate progress. Republican control of the Senate provides only 53 seats, well short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, and cross-aisle support has not materialized despite multiple attempts. Efforts to incorporate the measure's proof-of-citizenship and voter ID requirements into must-pass legislation, including the NDAA in July 2026, have similarly stalled. With limited remaining legislative calendar time and no procedural breakthroughs, traders view enactment before year-end as unlikely absent unexpected changes in Senate dynamics or priorities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
7% probabilità
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$190,044 Vol.
$190,044 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to "No" for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becoming law in 2026 reflects the bill's repeated House passage—most recently in February 2026—without corresponding Senate progress. Republican control of the Senate provides only 53 seats, well short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, and cross-aisle support has not materialized despite multiple attempts. Efforts to incorporate the measure's proof-of-citizenship and voter ID requirements into must-pass legislation, including the NDAA in July 2026, have similarly stalled. With limited remaining legislative calendar time and no procedural breakthroughs, traders view enactment before year-end as unlikely absent unexpected changes in Senate dynamics or priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$190,044Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to "No" for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becoming law in 2026 reflects the bill's repeated House passage—most recently in February 2026—without corresponding Senate progress. Republican control of the Senate provides only 53 seats, well short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, and cross-aisle support has not materialized despite multiple attempts. Efforts to incorporate the measure's proof-of-citizenship and voter ID requirements into must-pass legislation, including the NDAA in July 2026, have similarly stalled. With limited remaining legislative calendar time and no procedural breakthroughs, traders view enactment before year-end as unlikely absent unexpected changes in Senate dynamics or priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$190,044Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability assigned to "No" for the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becoming law in 2026 reflects the bill's repeated House passage—most recently in February 2026—without corresponding Senate progress. Republican control of the Senate provides only 53 seats, well short of the 60 votes needed to overcome a filibuster, and cross-aisle support has not materialized despite multiple attempts. Efforts to incorporate the measure's proof-of-citizenship and voter ID requirements into must-pass legislation, including the NDAA in July 2026, have similarly stalled. With limited remaining legislative calendar time and no procedural breakthroughs, traders view enactment before year-end as unlikely absent unexpected changes in Senate dynamics or priorities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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