Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a commanding lead driven by consistent polling advantages above 50 percent in recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, positioning him for a potential first-round victory on October 4. His active campaign has emphasized infrastructure projects, education priorities, and alliances with PL figures and local mayors, building on his 2022 mandate. The fragmented field, with João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) as distant challengers around 15-24 percent, limits opposition consolidation. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects these structural and survey factors, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected events before the first round or any runoff could still influence the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJorginho Mello 97.0%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Afrânio Boppré <1%
$122,689 Vol.
$122,689 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jorginho Mello
97%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
2%
João Rodrigues
1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Gelson Merisio
<1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Jorginho Mello 97.0%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Afrânio Boppré <1%
$122,689 Vol.
$122,689 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Jorginho Mello
$30,774 Vol.
97%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$16,004 Vol.
2%
João Rodrigues
$3,030 Vol.
1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,415 Vol.
<1%
Gelson Merisio
$2,255 Vol.
<1%
Décio Lima
$64,175 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$2,128 Vol.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$1,908 Vol.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a commanding lead driven by consistent polling advantages above 50 percent in recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, positioning him for a potential first-round victory on October 4. His active campaign has emphasized infrastructure projects, education priorities, and alliances with PL figures and local mayors, building on his 2022 mandate. The fragmented field, with João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) as distant challengers around 15-24 percent, limits opposition consolidation. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects these structural and survey factors, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected events before the first round or any runoff could still influence the outcome.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$122,689Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a commanding lead driven by consistent polling advantages above 50 percent in recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, positioning him for a potential first-round victory on October 4. His active campaign has emphasized infrastructure projects, education priorities, and alliances with PL figures and local mayors, building on his 2022 mandate. The fragmented field, with João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) as distant challengers around 15-24 percent, limits opposition consolidation. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects these structural and survey factors, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected events before the first round or any runoff could still influence the outcome.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$122,689Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking reelection, maintains a commanding lead driven by consistent polling advantages above 50 percent in recent surveys from institutes including Neokemp and AtlasIntel, positioning him for a potential first-round victory on October 4. His active campaign has emphasized infrastructure projects, education priorities, and alliances with PL figures and local mayors, building on his 2022 mandate. The fragmented field, with João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB) as distant challengers around 15-24 percent, limits opposition consolidation. Trader consensus at 97 percent reflects these structural and survey factors, though late shifts in turnout or unexpected events before the first round or any runoff could still influence the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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