Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over Soldado Sampaio, reflecting strong voter recognition from his prior tenure as Boa Vista mayor and dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election. Recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and others show him near or above 60 percent, supported by substantial PL party resources and higher reported campaign expenditures on advertising and outreach. Traders price the outcome at these levels because his margin has held steady ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, though a final TSE ruling on his earlier candidacy eligibility or an unexpected late shift in turnout among key blocs could still alter the result before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArthur Henrique 96.8%
Soldado Sampaio 2.1%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
97%
Soldado Sampaio
2%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 96.8%
Soldado Sampaio 2.1%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
$5,710 Vol.
97%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
2%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$227 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$318 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over Soldado Sampaio, reflecting strong voter recognition from his prior tenure as Boa Vista mayor and dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election. Recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and others show him near or above 60 percent, supported by substantial PL party resources and higher reported campaign expenditures on advertising and outreach. Traders price the outcome at these levels because his margin has held steady ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, though a final TSE ruling on his earlier candidacy eligibility or an unexpected late shift in turnout among key blocs could still alter the result before ballots close.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$6,591Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over Soldado Sampaio, reflecting strong voter recognition from his prior tenure as Boa Vista mayor and dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election. Recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and others show him near or above 60 percent, supported by substantial PL party resources and higher reported campaign expenditures on advertising and outreach. Traders price the outcome at these levels because his margin has held steady ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, though a final TSE ruling on his earlier candidacy eligibility or an unexpected late shift in turnout among key blocs could still alter the result before ballots close.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,591Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of roughly 30 points over Soldado Sampaio, reflecting strong voter recognition from his prior tenure as Boa Vista mayor and dominant performance in the June 2026 supplementary election. Recent surveys from Quaest, AtlasIntel, and others show him near or above 60 percent, supported by substantial PL party resources and higher reported campaign expenditures on advertising and outreach. Traders price the outcome at these levels because his margin has held steady ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, though a final TSE ruling on his earlier candidacy eligibility or an unexpected late shift in turnout among key blocs could still alter the result before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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