MrBeast’s latest upload has drawn tightly clustered trader bets around the mid-75 million view range in week one, with the 75.5–76M bracket edging out at 52% implied probability amid heavy volume. Recent releases have consistently landed in the 70–80 million band thanks to his 500-plus million subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion that fuels rapid algorithmic lift on YouTube. Historical patterns for challenge-style or competition videos reinforce this narrow distribution, while the near-even pricing across 75–76.5M outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact retention curves and any late-week surge from secondary platforms or fan recaps. An 80M+ finish would require outsized virality beyond typical benchmarks, whereas sub-74M totals remain low-probability given sustained engagement metrics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# di visualizzazioni del video di MrBeast settimana 1? (Colpi più piccoli)
# di visualizzazioni del video di MrBeast settimana 1? (Colpi più piccoli)
75,5–76M 50%
75–75,5M 47%
74,5–75M 43%
76,5M+ 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
<74M
1%
74–74,5M
9%
74,5–75M
43%
75–75,5M
47%
75,5–76M
50%
76–76,5M
43%
76,5M+
10%
75,5–76M 50%
75–75,5M 47%
74,5–75M 43%
76,5M+ 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
<74M
$152 Vol.
1%
74–74,5M
$15 Vol.
9%
74,5–75M
$0 Vol.
43%
75–75,5M
$0 Vol.
47%
75,5–76M
$0 Vol.
50%
76–76,5M
$239 Vol.
43%
76,5M+
$234 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest upload has drawn tightly clustered trader bets around the mid-75 million view range in week one, with the 75.5–76M bracket edging out at 52% implied probability amid heavy volume. Recent releases have consistently landed in the 70–80 million band thanks to his 500-plus million subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion that fuels rapid algorithmic lift on YouTube. Historical patterns for challenge-style or competition videos reinforce this narrow distribution, while the near-even pricing across 75–76.5M outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact retention curves and any late-week surge from secondary platforms or fan recaps. An 80M+ finish would require outsized virality beyond typical benchmarks, whereas sub-74M totals remain low-probability given sustained engagement metrics.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Volume
$639Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s latest upload has drawn tightly clustered trader bets around the mid-75 million view range in week one, with the 75.5–76M bracket edging out at 52% implied probability amid heavy volume. Recent releases have consistently landed in the 70–80 million band thanks to his 500-plus million subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion that fuels rapid algorithmic lift on YouTube. Historical patterns for challenge-style or competition videos reinforce this narrow distribution, while the near-even pricing across 75–76.5M outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact retention curves and any late-week surge from secondary platforms or fan recaps. An 80M+ finish would require outsized virality beyond typical benchmarks, whereas sub-74M totals remain low-probability given sustained engagement metrics.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Af6i6ChAVTw Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$639Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s latest upload has drawn tightly clustered trader bets around the mid-75 million view range in week one, with the 75.5–76M bracket edging out at 52% implied probability amid heavy volume. Recent releases have consistently landed in the 70–80 million band thanks to his 500-plus million subscriber base, high-production spectacle format, and cross-platform promotion that fuels rapid algorithmic lift on YouTube. Historical patterns for challenge-style or competition videos reinforce this narrow distribution, while the near-even pricing across 75–76.5M outcomes reflects uncertainty over exact retention curves and any late-week surge from secondary platforms or fan recaps. An 80M+ finish would require outsized virality beyond typical benchmarks, whereas sub-74M totals remain low-probability given sustained engagement metrics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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