The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for Charmander's price moving down by August 31 reflects the current tug-of-war in the Pokémon TCG collectibles market, where recent strength in vintage and promo cards has kept prices elevated but vulnerable to short-term corrections. Trader sentiment is balanced by sustained demand for popular Charmander variants amid broader 2026 outperformance versus stocks and crypto, tempered by signs of softening in modern sets and fluctuating secondary-market liquidity on platforms like Collectr. Key swing factors include any late-August sales data, grading influxes, or broader TCG hype cycles that could push the ungraded price above or below the settlement threshold. With resolution just weeks away, final chart updates or unexpected buyout activity could quickly tilt the odds in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrezzo Charmander in rialzo/ribasso il 31 agosto?
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This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Down” if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $38.92.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Charmander (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 038) on August 31, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $38.92.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
Fonte di risoluzione
https://app.getcollectr.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The closely contested 50.5% implied probability for Charmander's price moving down by August 31 reflects the current tug-of-war in the Pokémon TCG collectibles market, where recent strength in vintage and promo cards has kept prices elevated but vulnerable to short-term corrections. Trader sentiment is balanced by sustained demand for popular Charmander variants amid broader 2026 outperformance versus stocks and crypto, tempered by signs of softening in modern sets and fluctuating secondary-market liquidity on platforms like Collectr. Key swing factors include any late-August sales data, grading influxes, or broader TCG hype cycles that could push the ungraded price above or below the settlement threshold. With resolution just weeks away, final chart updates or unexpected buyout activity could quickly tilt the odds in either direction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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