Trader consensus at 81.5% Yes for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" reflects the absence of listed resolution triggers through mid-September. Donald Trump remains president amid ongoing policy actions and nominations, with no removal or acquisition of Greenland. The 2026 Iran war and Strait of Hormuz tensions have produced targeted strikes but stopped short of a U.S. invasion or Iranian regime collapse. Russia continues operations in Ukraine without crossing into NATO territory, while its legislative elections proceed under wartime controls. Bitcoin has avoided extreme price thresholds, and no major leadership shifts involving Xi Jinping or comparable geopolitical shocks have materialized. Scheduled events such as remaining 2026 elections and diplomatic meetings have not yet produced the specified supermajorities or breakthroughs that would flip the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNon succede mai niente: 2026
Non succede mai niente: 2026
Sì
82% probabilità
$791,831 Vol.
$791,831 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
82% probabilità
$791,831 Vol.
$791,831 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus at 81.5% Yes for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" reflects the absence of listed resolution triggers through mid-September. Donald Trump remains president amid ongoing policy actions and nominations, with no removal or acquisition of Greenland. The 2026 Iran war and Strait of Hormuz tensions have produced targeted strikes but stopped short of a U.S. invasion or Iranian regime collapse. Russia continues operations in Ukraine without crossing into NATO territory, while its legislative elections proceed under wartime controls. Bitcoin has avoided extreme price thresholds, and no major leadership shifts involving Xi Jinping or comparable geopolitical shocks have materialized. Scheduled events such as remaining 2026 elections and diplomatic meetings have not yet produced the specified supermajorities or breakthroughs that would flip the outcome.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$791,831Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus at 81.5% Yes for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" reflects the absence of listed resolution triggers through mid-September. Donald Trump remains president amid ongoing policy actions and nominations, with no removal or acquisition of Greenland. The 2026 Iran war and Strait of Hormuz tensions have produced targeted strikes but stopped short of a U.S. invasion or Iranian regime collapse. Russia continues operations in Ukraine without crossing into NATO territory, while its legislative elections proceed under wartime controls. Bitcoin has avoided extreme price thresholds, and no major leadership shifts involving Xi Jinping or comparable geopolitical shocks have materialized. Scheduled events such as remaining 2026 elections and diplomatic meetings have not yet produced the specified supermajorities or breakthroughs that would flip the outcome.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH+2026.pdf
Volume
$791,831Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus at 81.5% Yes for "Nothing Ever Happens: 2026" reflects the absence of listed resolution triggers through mid-September. Donald Trump remains president amid ongoing policy actions and nominations, with no removal or acquisition of Greenland. The 2026 Iran war and Strait of Hormuz tensions have produced targeted strikes but stopped short of a U.S. invasion or Iranian regime collapse. Russia continues operations in Ukraine without crossing into NATO territory, while its legislative elections proceed under wartime controls. Bitcoin has avoided extreme price thresholds, and no major leadership shifts involving Xi Jinping or comparable geopolitical shocks have materialized. Scheduled events such as remaining 2026 elections and diplomatic meetings have not yet produced the specified supermajorities or breakthroughs that would flip the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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