Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at the capital’s four main airports (Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky) to ensure aviation safety amid air-defense activity. The largest such episode occurred on June 18, 2026, when all facilities closed multiple times during the most intense attack wave reported since the start of full-scale hostilities, delaying or canceling hundreds of flights. Russian authorities have also imposed broader low-altitude flight restrictions over central regions, while international carriers such as EL AL have suspended routes citing airspace risks. Trader sentiment on resolution timing or responsible actor reflects expectations of continued conflict-driven disruptions through summer 2026, with any escalation in strikes or new defensive measures likely to influence short-term probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTraffico aereo di Mosca sospeso da...?
22 luglio
26%
25 luglio
50%
31 luglio
76%
31 agosto
88%
$345 Vol.
22 luglio
26%
25 luglio
50%
31 luglio
76%
31 agosto
88%
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 20, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly triggered temporary suspensions of arrivals and departures at the capital’s four main airports (Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, Vnukovo, and Zhukovsky) to ensure aviation safety amid air-defense activity. The largest such episode occurred on June 18, 2026, when all facilities closed multiple times during the most intense attack wave reported since the start of full-scale hostilities, delaying or canceling hundreds of flights. Russian authorities have also imposed broader low-altitude flight restrictions over central regions, while international carriers such as EL AL have suspended routes citing airspace risks. Trader sentiment on resolution timing or responsible actor reflects expectations of continued conflict-driven disruptions through summer 2026, with any escalation in strikes or new defensive measures likely to influence short-term probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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