Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured 70.5% in her 2024 reelection, and forecasters across outlets rate the 2026 race as Safe or Likely Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Steve Carlson and Erik Osberg has not produced a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. This entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency strength underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. A shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen primary upset that elevates a stronger Democratic contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-07 House Election Winner
MN-07 House Election Winner
$21,281 Vol.
$21,281 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$21,281 Vol.
$21,281 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$3,404 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$17,877 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured 70.5% in her 2024 reelection, and forecasters across outlets rate the 2026 race as Safe or Likely Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Steve Carlson and Erik Osberg has not produced a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. This entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency strength underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. A shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen primary upset that elevates a stronger Democratic contender.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,281Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured 70.5% in her 2024 reelection, and forecasters across outlets rate the 2026 race as Safe or Likely Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Steve Carlson and Erik Osberg has not produced a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. This entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency strength underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. A shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen primary upset that elevates a stronger Democratic contender.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,281Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 7th congressional district remains one of the most Republican-leaning seats in the state, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+18 and a 36-point Trump margin in 2024. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured 70.5% in her 2024 reelection, and forecasters across outlets rate the 2026 race as Safe or Likely Republican ahead of the August 11 primaries. Limited Democratic primary activity between Steve Carlson and Erik Osberg has not produced a high-profile challenger capable of narrowing the gap. This entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency strength underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 93.5%. A shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a late personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen primary upset that elevates a stronger Democratic contender.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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