The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release for May 2026 showed headline CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year, up from 3.8% in April and matching the exact level now priced at full consensus. Energy prices drove the acceleration, surging 23.5% annually amid supply shocks from the Iran conflict, with gasoline up 40.5% and contributing the bulk of the monthly 0.5% CPI gain. Shelter costs edged higher to 3.4% while food inflation accelerated to 3.1%, and core CPI reached 2.9%. With the print aligning precisely to expectations and no material revisions anticipated, trader positioning reflects near-certainty ahead of the next FOMC meeting and June data release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4.2% 100.0%
≤3,3% <1%
3.4% <1%
3.5% <1%
$594,601 Vol.
$594,601 Vol.
≤3,3%
No
3.4%
No
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
No
3.9%
No
4.0%
No
4.1%
No
4.2%
Yes
4.3%
No
≥4,4%
No
4.2% 100.0%
≤3,3% <1%
3.4% <1%
3.5% <1%
$594,601 Vol.
$594,601 Vol.
≤3,3%
No
3.4%
No
3.5%
No
3.6%
No
3.7%
No
3.8%
No
3.9%
No
4.0%
No
4.1%
No
4.2%
Yes
4.3%
No
≥4,4%
No
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release for May 2026 showed headline CPI rising 4.2% year-over-year, up from 3.8% in April and matching the exact level now priced at full consensus. Energy prices drove the acceleration, surging 23.5% annually amid supply shocks from the Iran conflict, with gasoline up 40.5% and contributing the bulk of the monthly 0.5% CPI gain. Shelter costs edged higher to 3.4% while food inflation accelerated to 3.1%, and core CPI reached 2.9%. With the print aligning precisely to expectations and no material revisions anticipated, trader positioning reflects near-certainty ahead of the next FOMC meeting and June data release.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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