Current short-range forecasts from European models show Warsaw's September 10 overnight low likely falling between 11–13 °C under strengthening westerly flow and scattered showers that may limit radiational cooling. Recent days featured above-normal warmth with daytime highs near 20–23 °C, but an incoming Atlantic air mass is driving the cooldown. Key variables separating the closely matched market outcomes include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds near 5–7 m/s that could suppress or enhance minimum readings, and any last-minute shift in frontal timing. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles currently favors the middle of the distribution, with new model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 10 settembre?
19°C o superiore 91%
9°C o inferiore 39%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
9°C o inferiore
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
37%
18°C
38%
19°C o superiore
91%
19°C o superiore 91%
9°C o inferiore 39%
18°C 38%
17°C 37%
9°C o inferiore
39%
10°C
23%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
37%
18°C
38%
19°C o superiore
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from European models show Warsaw's September 10 overnight low likely falling between 11–13 °C under strengthening westerly flow and scattered showers that may limit radiational cooling. Recent days featured above-normal warmth with daytime highs near 20–23 °C, but an incoming Atlantic air mass is driving the cooldown. Key variables separating the closely matched market outcomes include exact cloud cover overnight, wind speeds near 5–7 m/s that could suppress or enhance minimum readings, and any last-minute shift in frontal timing. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local ensembles currently favors the middle of the distribution, with new model runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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