**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Taipei on September 5, 2026, driven by official and model forecasts showing overnight lows in the mid-20s amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and widespread rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops below 23°C despite typical early-September seasonal baselines near 23°C. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a low around 23–25°C, with light winds and overcast skies maintaining warmth; any clearing could allow brief cooling toward 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around 24–25°C reflects model agreement on these conditions, while the modest weighting on 20°C or below accounts for residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 5 settembre?
24°C 47%
22°C 46%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
-
21°C
-
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 47%
22°C 46%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
-
21°C
-
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
47%
25°C
49%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Taipei on September 5, 2026, driven by official and model forecasts showing overnight lows in the mid-20s amid persistent cloud cover and showers.** High humidity (often 80–95%) and widespread rainfall limit nocturnal radiative cooling, preventing sharper drops below 23°C despite typical early-September seasonal baselines near 23°C. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a low around 23–25°C, with light winds and overcast skies maintaining warmth; any clearing could allow brief cooling toward 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around 24–25°C reflects model agreement on these conditions, while the modest weighting on 20°C or below accounts for residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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