Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 12 settembre?
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
34%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
21%
29°C
39%
30°C
19%
31°C o superiore
34%
26°C 40%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
21°C o inferiore
34%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
39%
28°C
21%
29°C
39%
30°C
19%
31°C o superiore
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti