Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,250 Vol.
$14,250 Vol.
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
98%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 98%
23°C 3%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,250 Vol.
$14,250 Vol.
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$256 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$976 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,531 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,836 Vol.
3%
24°C
$4,191 Vol.
98%
25°C
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,250Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,250Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models supports the strong market-implied probability for a 24°C minimum in Shanghai on September 13, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, northeasterly flow, and moderate humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official guidance shows daytime highs near 30°C with overnight lows settling around 23–24°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with typical mid-September climatology for the region. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, where small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor cloud development could still shift the exact reading by 1°C but are unlikely to alter the dominant outcome given current model agreement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti