Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August heat, with models projecting an overnight low near 17°C on August 17 amid increased cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate winds. These conditions align with the market's strong consensus on an 18°C minimum (53.5% implied probability), reflecting typical late-summer variability where radiative cooling under clearer skies can yield 16–17°C readings while persistent moisture limits further drops. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 17 agosto?
18°C 47%
17°C 19%
16°C o inferiore 14%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
47%
19°C
13%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 47%
17°C 19%
16°C o inferiore 14%
19°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C o inferiore
$52 Vol.
14%
17°C
$726 Vol.
19%
18°C
$106 Vol.
47%
19°C
$140 Vol.
13%
20°C
$17 Vol.
5%
21°C
$11 Vol.
2%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
5%
24°C
$10 Vol.
5%
25°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
26°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August heat, with models projecting an overnight low near 17°C on August 17 amid increased cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate winds. These conditions align with the market's strong consensus on an 18°C minimum (53.5% implied probability), reflecting typical late-summer variability where radiative cooling under clearer skies can yield 16–17°C readings while persistent moisture limits further drops. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,087Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August heat, with models projecting an overnight low near 17°C on August 17 amid increased cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate winds. These conditions align with the market's strong consensus on an 18°C minimum (53.5% implied probability), reflecting typical late-summer variability where radiative cooling under clearer skies can yield 16–17°C readings while persistent moisture limits further drops. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,087Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a cooling trend in Paris following mid-August heat, with models projecting an overnight low near 17°C on August 17 amid increased cloud cover, possible showers, and moderate winds. These conditions align with the market's strong consensus on an 18°C minimum (53.5% implied probability), reflecting typical late-summer variability where radiative cooling under clearer skies can yield 16–17°C readings while persistent moisture limits further drops. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing context for why traders assign lower odds to extremes below 16°C or above 19°C. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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