Recent forecast data from NOAA and regional models indicate that persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with a coastal low-pressure system are keeping overnight and morning temperatures in New York City from falling below the low 70s on September 13. Official guidance shows a morning low near 70–73°F and limited diurnal cooling under overcast skies with widespread rain, consistent with the market’s strong 82% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Historical September climatology places average lows near 63°F, but this event’s elevated moisture and suppressed radiational cooling explain the upward shift in trader expectations for a warmer minimum. Updated National Weather Service observations through early morning confirm readings holding in the 70–72°F range, with any further drop dependent on post-rain clearing later in the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 13 settembre?
70-71°F 82%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 3.4%
66-67°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
82%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 82%
68-69°F 17%
64-65°F 3.4%
66-67°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
63°F o inferiore
$1,030 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$515 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$488 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$956 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$683 Vol.
82%
72-73°F
$3,346 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$506 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$112 Vol.
<1%
82°F o superiore
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from NOAA and regional models indicate that persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with a coastal low-pressure system are keeping overnight and morning temperatures in New York City from falling below the low 70s on September 13. Official guidance shows a morning low near 70–73°F and limited diurnal cooling under overcast skies with widespread rain, consistent with the market’s strong 82% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Historical September climatology places average lows near 63°F, but this event’s elevated moisture and suppressed radiational cooling explain the upward shift in trader expectations for a warmer minimum. Updated National Weather Service observations through early morning confirm readings holding in the 70–72°F range, with any further drop dependent on post-rain clearing later in the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,373Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast data from NOAA and regional models indicate that persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with a coastal low-pressure system are keeping overnight and morning temperatures in New York City from falling below the low 70s on September 13. Official guidance shows a morning low near 70–73°F and limited diurnal cooling under overcast skies with widespread rain, consistent with the market’s strong 82% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Historical September climatology places average lows near 63°F, but this event’s elevated moisture and suppressed radiational cooling explain the upward shift in trader expectations for a warmer minimum. Updated National Weather Service observations through early morning confirm readings holding in the 70–72°F range, with any further drop dependent on post-rain clearing later in the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,373Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast data from NOAA and regional models indicate that persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with a coastal low-pressure system are keeping overnight and morning temperatures in New York City from falling below the low 70s on September 13. Official guidance shows a morning low near 70–73°F and limited diurnal cooling under overcast skies with widespread rain, consistent with the market’s strong 82% implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Historical September climatology places average lows near 63°F, but this event’s elevated moisture and suppressed radiational cooling explain the upward shift in trader expectations for a warmer minimum. Updated National Weather Service observations through early morning confirm readings holding in the 70–72°F range, with any further drop dependent on post-rain clearing later in the period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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